Rochdale vs Accrington ST: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Accrington ST travel to face Rochdale on Saturday 24 October in the League Two, with Spotland Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Rochdale are 20th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Accrington ST are 9th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Rochdale, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Grimsby, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Accrington ST, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with York, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rochdale 1.4 xG, Accrington ST 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rochdale 40%, draw 23%, Accrington ST 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rochdale 1–1 Accrington ST. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rochdale40%fair 2.48 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.25
Accrington ST37%fair 2.71 · @2.70
2.71Expected goals
1.39Rochdale xG
1.32Accrington ST xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Rochdale 1.4 – 1.3 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rochdale to win✗
40%
2.48
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Draw no bet
Rochdale (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Accrington ST +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Rochdale to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rochdale / FT Rochdale✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Rochdale – last 6
DLDLWW
20 Oct
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ Crewe
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Tranmere
1–1
D
6 Oct
@ Huddersfield
0–5
L
3 Oct
vs Swindon Town
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Accrington ST – last 6
DWDDWD
20 Oct
@ York
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Gillingham
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Oldham
0–0
D
6 Oct
vs Salford City
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Cheltenham
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Accrington ST.
What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Accrington ST 37%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
Our predicted score is Rochdale 1–1 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
Rochdale vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spotland Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
