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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Northampton v Colchester: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Sixfields Stadium
2–0
FT
Northampton 49%Draw 23%Colchester 28% Expected goals 1.12 – 0.74
53%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultNorthampton to win ✓49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.73

Northampton vs Colchester: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Northampton welcome Colchester to Sixfields Stadium for a League Two fixture on Saturday 24 October (12:30 WAT). In the table, Northampton are 21st, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Colchester are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Northampton, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tranmere, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Colchester, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chesterfield, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Northampton 1.1 xG, Colchester 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Northampton 49%, draw 23%, Colchester 28%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northampton 1–0 Colchester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Northampton49%fair 2.05 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.20
Colchester28%fair 3.54 · @3.70
1.86Expected goals
1.12Northampton xG
0.74Colchester xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%

From our goals model: Northampton 1.1 – 0.7 Colchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorthampton to win ✓49%2.052.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.901.83
Draw no betNorthampton (draw no bet) ✓63%1.58–
Asian handicapColchester +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓55%1.80–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreNorthampton to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Northampton / FT Northampton ✓25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.73–

Recent results

Northampton – last 6

LWDLLL
20 Octvs Tranmere0–1L
17 Oct@ Grimsby2–0W
10 Oct@ York1–1D
6 Oct@ Cambridge United1–2L
19 Sepvs Rotherham0–1L
12 Sep@ Shrewsbury0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Colchester – last 6

DDLDDL
20 Oct@ Chesterfield1–1D
17 Octvs Exeter City0–0D
10 Oct@ Newport County0–1L
3 Octvs Luton1–1D
26 Sep@ Shrewsbury2–2D
22 Sep@ Peterborough1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Colchester.

Northampton vs Colchester head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Northampton vs Colchester?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Northampton vs Colchester?

On our numbers Northampton have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colchester 28%.

How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Colchester?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Colchester?

Our predicted score is Northampton 1–0 Colchester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Northampton vs Colchester?

Northampton vs Colchester (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.