Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultChesterfield to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceChesterfield or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Chesterfield vs Crewe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Chesterfield v Crewe in the League Two, played at SMH Group Stadium. In the table, Chesterfield are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Crewe are 4th (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chesterfield, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colchester, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Crewe, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Exeter City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Crewe, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Chesterfield.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 1.8 xG, Crewe 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 64%, draw 19%, Crewe 17%.
Lower-risk option: Chesterfield or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chesterfield to win (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 1–0 Crewe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chesterfield64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.80
Crewe17%fair 5.85 · @4.40
2.50Expected goals
1.76Chesterfield xG
0.74Crewe xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.8 – 0.7 Crewe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Chesterfield or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Draw no bet
Chesterfield (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Chesterfield -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Chesterfield to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Chesterfield ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Chesterfield – last 6
DLDWLD
20 Oct
vs Colchester
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Crawley Town
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Tranmere
4–2
W
26 Sep
@ Cheltenham
1–2
L
22 Sep
vs Port Vale
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Crewe – last 6
LWWDWD
20 Oct
@ Exeter City
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Rochdale
3–2
W
10 Oct
@ Swindon Town
1–0
W
6 Oct
@ Blackpool
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Bristol Rovers
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Rotherham
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Crewe.
Our pick is Chesterfield to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Crewe?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Crewe 17%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Crewe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Crewe?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–0 Crewe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Crewe?
Chesterfield vs Crewe (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
