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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bristol Rovers v Swindon Town: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Memorial Stadium
0–0
FT
Bristol Rovers 61%Draw 21%Swindon Town 19% Expected goals 1.82 – 0.89
61%
Betarazi pick

Bristol Rovers to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultBristol Rovers to win ✗61% · @1.62
Double chanceBristol Rovers or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Swindon Town travel to face Bristol Rovers on Saturday 24 October in the League Two, with Memorial Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Bristol Rovers are 17th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Swindon Town are 13th (lower half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bristol Rovers, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Salford City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Swindon Town, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Barnet, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Swindon Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bristol Rovers 1.8 xG, Swindon Town 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bristol Rovers 61%, draw 21%, Swindon Town 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bristol Rovers or draw (81%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bristol Rovers to win (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bristol Rovers 1–0 Swindon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bristol Rovers61%fair 1.65 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.90
Swindon Town19%fair 5.31 · @5.00
2.71Expected goals
1.82Bristol Rovers xG
0.89Swindon Town xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 1.8 – 0.9 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBristol Rovers to win ✗61%1.651.62
Double chanceBristol Rovers or draw ✓81%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.67
Draw no betBristol Rovers (draw no bet)76%1.31–
Asian handicapSwindon Town +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreBristol Rovers to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultBristol Rovers ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers ✗37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Bristol Rovers – last 6

LLLLLW
20 Octvs Salford City1–2L
17 Oct@ Shrewsbury0–1L
10 Octvs Barnet1–3L
6 Oct@ Wycombe1–4L
3 Oct@ Crewe1–3L
26 Sepvs Exeter City1–0W
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Swindon Town – last 6

WDLLDL
20 Oct@ Barnet3–1W
17 Octvs Walsall1–1D
10 Octvs Crewe0–1L
3 Oct@ Rochdale0–1L
26 Sepvs Accrington ST1–1D
22 Sepvs Newport County0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers1–1
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?

Our pick is Bristol Rovers to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?

On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Swindon Town 19%.

How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?

Our predicted score is Bristol Rovers 1–0 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.