Value bet: Gillingham to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGrimsby to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Gillingham vs Grimsby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the League Two brings Gillingham against Grimsby at Priestfield Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Gillingham are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Grimsby are 6th (upper half) with 20. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gillingham, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Port Vale, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Grimsby, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rochdale, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Gillingham, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Grimsby.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gillingham 1.2 xG, Grimsby 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gillingham 34%, draw 23%, Grimsby 44%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Gillingham to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gillingham 1–1 Grimsby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gillingham34%fair 2.95 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
Grimsby44%fair 2.30 · @2.15
2.54Expected goals
1.17Gillingham xG
1.37Grimsby xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gillingham 1.2 – 1.4 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win✓
44%
2.30
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Draw no bet
Grimsby (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Gillingham +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Grimsby to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Gillingham – last 6
DLWWDL
20 Oct
vs Port Vale
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Accrington ST
1–3
L
13 Oct
vs Brighton U21
4–3
W
10 Oct
@ Rotherham
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Newport County
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ York
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Grimsby – last 6
DLLDLL
20 Oct
@ Rochdale
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Northampton
0–2
L
10 Oct
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
6 Oct
vs Burton Albion
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Shrewsbury
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Newport County
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Grimsby.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Gillingham vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Grimsby 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Grimsby?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Grimsby?
Our predicted score is Gillingham 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gillingham vs Grimsby?
Gillingham vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
