Value bet: Exeter City to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultExeter City to win ✓45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 14.92
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Exeter City v Fleetwood Town in the League Two, played at St James Park. In the table, Exeter City are 12th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Fleetwood Town are 16th (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Exeter City, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Crewe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Fleetwood Town, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Cheltenham, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Exeter City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Fleetwood Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Exeter City 1.0 xG, Fleetwood Town 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Exeter City 45%, draw 23%, Fleetwood Town 31%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Exeter City to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Exeter City 1–1 Fleetwood Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Exeter City45%fair 2.21 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Fleetwood Town31%fair 3.19 · @2.90
1.79Expected goals
1.02Exeter City xG
0.77Fleetwood Town xG
52%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Exeter City 1.0 – 0.8 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Exeter City to win✓
45%
2.21
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.75
Draw no bet
Exeter City (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Fleetwood Town +1 (Asian handicap)
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Exeter City to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
7%
14.92
–
Recent results
Exeter City – last 6
WDWDWL
20 Oct
vs Crewe
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Colchester
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Shrewsbury
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Oxford United
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town – last 6
LWDWLL
20 Oct
@ Cheltenham
2–4
L
17 Oct
vs Rotherham
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Walsall
1–1
D
6 Oct
vs Barnsley
4–1
W
3 Oct
@ Salford City
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Rochdale
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Fleetwood Town.
What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fleetwood Town 31%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–1 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
