Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultYork to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14
York vs Port Vale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the League Two brings York against Port Vale at York Community Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, York are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Port Vale are 19th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
York, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Accrington ST, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Port Vale, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gillingham, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Port Vale, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for York.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give York 1.3 xG, Port Vale 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – York 44%, draw 22%, Port Vale 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Port Vale to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: York 1–1 Port Vale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
York44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.40
Port Vale34%fair 2.95 · @3.50
2.29Expected goals
1.25York xG
1.04Port Vale xG
58%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: York 1.3 – 1.0 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
York to win✓
44%
2.25
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.67
Draw no bet
York (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Port Vale +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
York to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT York / FT York✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.14
–
Recent results
York – last 6
DDDWDL
20 Oct
vs Accrington ST
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Newport County
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Northampton
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Gillingham
3–0
W
22 Sep
vs Rotherham
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Chesterfield
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 6
DWWWDL
20 Oct
@ Gillingham
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Chesterfield
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Grimsby
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Mansfield Town
2–0
W
22 Sep
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Walsall
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between York and Port Vale.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win York vs Port Vale?
On our numbers York have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Port Vale 34%.
How many goals will there be in York vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for York vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is York 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is York vs Port Vale?
York vs Port Vale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at York Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
