Swindon Town 30%Draw 22%Grimsby 48%Expected goals 1.28 – 1.48
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultGrimsby to win48% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.26
Swindon Town vs Grimsby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grimsby travel to face Swindon Town on Saturday 14 November in the League Two, with County Ground the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Swindon Town are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Grimsby are 6th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Swindon Town, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Plymouth, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Grimsby, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Nottingham Forest U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Swindon Town 1.3 xG, Grimsby 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Swindon Town 30%, draw 22%, Grimsby 48%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swindon Town 1–1 Grimsby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Swindon Town30%fair 3.34 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.70
Grimsby48%fair 2.09 · @1.95
2.76Expected goals
1.28Swindon Town xG
1.48Grimsby xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Swindon Town 1.3 – 1.5 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Swindon Town
Grimsby
Attack vs League Two average
-16%
+25%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.37
1.29
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win
48%
2.09
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.64
1.53
Draw no bet
Grimsby (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Swindon Town +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.20
First team to score
Grimsby to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.26
–
Recent results
Swindon Town – last 6
LLWDWD
10 Nov
@ Plymouth
1–2
L
7 Nov
@ Milton Keynes Dons
1–2
L
31 Oct
vs Rotherham
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Bristol Rovers
0–0
D
20 Oct
@ Barnet
3–1
W
17 Oct
vs Walsall
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Grimsby – last 6
LDWWDL
10 Nov
vs Nottingham Forest U21
0–3
L
7 Nov
@ Stafford Rangers
2–2
D
31 Oct
vs York
5–2
W
24 Oct
@ Gillingham
4–1
W
20 Oct
@ Rochdale
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Northampton
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swindon Town and Grimsby.
What is the prediction for Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Swindon Town have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grimsby 48%.
How many goals will there be in Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
Our predicted score is Swindon Town 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
Swindon Town vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at County Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
