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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ABC v Águia de Marabá: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

ABC

LDWWW
3–0
FT

Águia de Marabá

WWLLW
ABC 59%Draw 24%Águia de Marabá 17% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.92
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 57% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultABC to win ✓59% · @1.48
Double chanceABC or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

ABC vs Águia de Marabá: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 12 July: ABC v Águia de Marabá in the Serie D.

Current form

ABC, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Águia de Marabá, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Águia de Marabá, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over ABC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Águia de Marabá 2–1 ABC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ABC 1.8 xG, Águia de Marabá 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ABC 59%, draw 24%, Águia de Marabá 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: ABC 1–1 Águia de Marabá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ABC59%fair 1.69 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.60
Águia de Marabá17%fair 5.99 · @6.25
2.73Expected goals
1.81ABC xG
0.92Águia de Marabá xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: ABC 1.8 – 0.9 Águia de Marabá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultABC to win ✓59%1.691.48
Double chanceABC or draw ✓83%1.201.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.772.10 ▲
Draw no betABC (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapÁguia de Marabá +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.10
First team to scoreABC to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultABC ahead at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT ABC / FT ABC ✓36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

ABC – last 6

LDWWWL
4 Jul@ Águia de Marabá1–2L
28 Junvs Altos1–1D
21 Jun@ Altos1–0W
14 Junvs Maguary PE1–0W
31 May@ Laguna2–0W
28 Mayvs Vitoria3–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Águia de Marabá – last 6

WWLLWW
4 Julvs ABC2–1W
27 Junvs Parnahyba2–0W
21 Jun@ Parnahyba1–2L
6 Jun@ Trem0–2L
30 Mayvs Tocantinópolis3–1W
23 May@ Imperatriz3–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Águia de Marabá v ABC2–1
ABC vs Águia de Marabá head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT São Luiz2 Velo Clube1 Pens 5–3 144%2.10X28%2.70228%3.60 1.3–1.0xG 1XSão Luiz or draw 72%@1.25 ✓
FT Gama2 Porto Velho0 Pens 5–4 164%1.27X22%4.50214%10.00 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Iguatu2 Maguary PE1 152%1.95X26%3.00222%3.80 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Manauara1 Goiatuba EC2 Pens 3–4 149%1.85X29%2.90222%4.33 1.2–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa RJ0 Sao Jose0 139%2.20X31%2.60230%3.50 1.1–0.9xG 1XPortuguesa RJ or draw 70%@1.25 ✓
FT Uberlandia2 Serra Branca2 151%1.95X28%3.10221%3.60 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✗
FT Capital Brasilia1 Nacional AM0 Pens 5–6 150%1.62X28%3.25222%5.00 1.3–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✗
FT Ferroviario3 Imperatriz0 155%1.53X26%3.25219%6.00 1.5–0.8xG 1Ferroviario to win 55%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ABC vs Águia de Marabá?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win ABC vs Águia de Marabá?

On our numbers ABC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Águia de Marabá 17%.

How many goals will there be in ABC vs Águia de Marabá?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ABC vs Águia de Marabá?

Our predicted score is ABC 1–1 Águia de Marabá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is ABC vs Águia de Marabá?

ABC vs Águia de Marabá (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.