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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ferroviario v Imperatriz: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Presidente Vargas

Ferroviario

DWDWD
3–0
FT

Imperatriz

DDDWW
Ferroviario 55%Draw 26%Imperatriz 19% Expected goals 1.46 – 0.83
55%
Betarazi pick

Ferroviario to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultFerroviario to win ✓55% · @1.53
Double chanceFerroviario or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16

Ferroviario vs Imperatriz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Imperatriz travel to face Ferroviario on Sunday 12 July in the Serie D, with Estadio Presidente Vargas the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.

Current form

Ferroviario, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Imperatriz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Imperatriz, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ferroviario, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ferroviario, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Imperatriz.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Imperatriz 1–1 Ferroviario.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviario 1.5 xG, Imperatriz 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviario 55%, draw 26%, Imperatriz 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ferroviario to win (55%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviario 1–0 Imperatriz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ferroviario55%fair 1.83 · @1.53
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.25
Imperatriz19%fair 5.26 · @6.00
2.29Expected goals
1.46Ferroviario xG
0.83Imperatriz xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Ferroviario 1.5 – 0.8 Imperatriz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFerroviario to win ✓55%1.831.53
Double chanceFerroviario or draw ✓81%1.231.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.00 ▲
Draw no betFerroviario (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapImperatriz +1 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreFerroviario to score first ✓57%1.74–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ferroviario / FT Ferroviario ✓31%3.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.16–

Recent results

Ferroviario – last 6

DWDWDW
4 Jul@ Imperatriz1–1D
28 Junvs Central SC2–0W
21 Jun@ Central SC1–1D
13 Junvs Fluminense PI1–0W
1 Jun@ TirolCEFAT0–0D
17 Mayvs Uniclinic Atletico Clube2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Imperatriz – last 6

DDDWWL
4 Julvs Ferroviario1–1D
27 Jun@ Maracanã0–0D
20 Junvs Maracanã1–1D
6 Junvs Tuna Luso4–0W
31 May@ Oratório1–0W
23 Mayvs Águia de Marabá0–3L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Imperatriz v Ferroviario1–1
Ferroviario vs Imperatriz head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT São Luiz2 Velo Clube1 Pens 5–3 144%2.10X28%2.70228%3.60 1.3–1.0xG 1XSão Luiz or draw 72%@1.25 ✓
FT ABC3 Águia de Marabá0 159%1.48X24%3.60217%6.25 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Gama2 Porto Velho0 Pens 5–4 164%1.27X22%4.50214%10.00 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Iguatu2 Maguary PE1 152%1.95X26%3.00222%3.80 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Manauara1 Goiatuba EC2 Pens 3–4 149%1.85X29%2.90222%4.33 1.2–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa RJ0 Sao Jose0 139%2.20X31%2.60230%3.50 1.1–0.9xG 1XPortuguesa RJ or draw 70%@1.25 ✓
FT Uberlandia2 Serra Branca2 151%1.95X28%3.10221%3.60 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✗
FT Capital Brasilia1 Nacional AM0 Pens 5–6 150%1.62X28%3.25222%5.00 1.3–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ferroviario vs Imperatriz?

Our pick is Ferroviario to win with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Ferroviario vs Imperatriz?

On our numbers Ferroviario have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Imperatriz 19%.

How many goals will there be in Ferroviario vs Imperatriz?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ferroviario vs Imperatriz?

Our predicted score is Ferroviario 1–0 Imperatriz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Ferroviario vs Imperatriz?

Ferroviario vs Imperatriz (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Presidente Vargas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.