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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Iguatu v Maguary PE: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello

Iguatu

WDWWD
2–1
FT

Maguary PE

LLWLD
Iguatu 52%Draw 26%Maguary PE 22% Expected goals 1.50 – 0.93
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultIguatu to win ✓52% · @1.95
Double chanceIguatu or draw ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.84

Iguatu vs Maguary PE: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 12 July: Iguatu v Maguary PE in the Serie D, played at Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello.

Current form

Iguatu, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Maguary PE, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Maguary PE, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Iguatu, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Iguatu, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Maguary PE.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Maguary PE 2–3 Iguatu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Iguatu 1.5 xG, Maguary PE 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Iguatu 52%, draw 26%, Maguary PE 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Iguatu or draw (78%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iguatu 1–0 Maguary PE. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Iguatu52%fair 1.92 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.00
Maguary PE22%fair 4.64 · @3.80
2.43Expected goals
1.50Iguatu xG
0.93Maguary PE xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Iguatu 1.5 – 0.9 Maguary PE expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIguatu to win ✓52%1.921.95
Double chanceIguatu or draw ✓78%1.271.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.91 ▲
Draw no betIguatu (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapMaguary PE +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.08
First team to scoreIguatu to score first ✓56%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Iguatu / FT Iguatu ✓30%3.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.84–

Recent results

Iguatu – last 5

WDWWD
4 Jul@ Maguary PE3–2W
27 Junvs Tuna Luso1–1D
21 Jun@ Tuna Luso2–1W
7 Jun@ Sampaio Correa1–0W
30 Mayvs Parnahyba2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Maguary PE – last 6

LLWLDD
4 Julvs Iguatu2–3L
27 Jun@ Piauí0–1L
21 Junvs Piauí2–0W
14 Jun@ ABC0–1L
25 May@ Laguna1–1D
17 May@ Central SC0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Maguary PE v Iguatu2–3
Iguatu vs Maguary PE head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT São Luiz2 Velo Clube1 Pens 5–3 144%2.10X28%2.70228%3.60 1.3–1.0xG 1XSão Luiz or draw 72%@1.25 ✓
FT ABC3 Águia de Marabá0 159%1.48X24%3.60217%6.25 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Gama2 Porto Velho0 Pens 5–4 164%1.27X22%4.50214%10.00 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Manauara1 Goiatuba EC2 Pens 3–4 149%1.85X29%2.90222%4.33 1.2–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa RJ0 Sao Jose0 139%2.20X31%2.60230%3.50 1.1–0.9xG 1XPortuguesa RJ or draw 70%@1.25 ✓
FT Uberlandia2 Serra Branca2 151%1.95X28%3.10221%3.60 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✗
FT Capital Brasilia1 Nacional AM0 Pens 5–6 150%1.62X28%3.25222%5.00 1.3–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✗
FT Ferroviario3 Imperatriz0 155%1.53X26%3.25219%6.00 1.5–0.8xG 1Ferroviario to win 55%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Iguatu vs Maguary PE?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Iguatu vs Maguary PE?

On our numbers Iguatu have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Maguary PE 22%.

How many goals will there be in Iguatu vs Maguary PE?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Iguatu vs Maguary PE?

Our predicted score is Iguatu 1–0 Maguary PE, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Iguatu vs Maguary PE?

Iguatu vs Maguary PE (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.