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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Uberlandia v Serra Branca: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Uberlandia

WDWLD
2–2
FT

Serra Branca

LWWDD
Uberlandia 51%Draw 28%Serra Branca 21% Expected goals 1.35 – 0.77
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultUberlandia to win ✗51% · @1.95
Double chanceUberlandia or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88

Uberlandia vs Serra Branca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 12 July: Uberlandia v Serra Branca in the Serie D.

Current form

Uberlandia, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Serra Branca, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Serra Branca, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Uberlandia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Serra Branca 0–1 Uberlandia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Uberlandia 1.4 xG, Serra Branca 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Uberlandia 51%, draw 28%, Serra Branca 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Uberlandia or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uberlandia 1–0 Serra Branca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Uberlandia51%fair 1.95 · @1.95
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.10
Serra Branca21%fair 4.77 · @3.60
2.12Expected goals
1.35Uberlandia xG
0.77Serra Branca xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Uberlandia 1.4 – 0.8 Serra Branca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUberlandia to win ✗51%1.951.95
Double chanceUberlandia or draw ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.921.91
Draw no betUberlandia (draw no bet)71%1.41–
Asian handicapSerra Branca +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.551.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.251.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.07
First team to scoreUberlandia to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Uberlandia / FT Uberlandia ✗30%3.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.88–

Recent results

Uberlandia – last 6

WDWLDD
4 Jul@ Serra Branca1–0W
27 Junvs Rio Branco ES2–2D
21 Jun@ Rio Branco ES2–0W
14 Junvs ABECAT Ouvidorense0–1L
31 May@ Ivinhema1–1D
24 May@ CRAC0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Serra Branca – last 6

LWWDDW
4 Julvs Uberlandia0–1L
28 Jun@ Juazeirense1–0W
21 Junvs Juazeirense2–0W
14 Jun@ Sergipe1–1D
31 Mayvs Retrô0–0D
24 May@ Decisão1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Serra Branca v Uberlandia0–1
Uberlandia vs Serra Branca head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT São Luiz2 Velo Clube1 Pens 5–3 144%2.10X28%2.70228%3.60 1.3–1.0xG 1XSão Luiz or draw 72%@1.25 ✓
FT ABC3 Águia de Marabá0 159%1.48X24%3.60217%6.25 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Gama2 Porto Velho0 Pens 5–4 164%1.27X22%4.50214%10.00 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Iguatu2 Maguary PE1 152%1.95X26%3.00222%3.80 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Manauara1 Goiatuba EC2 Pens 3–4 149%1.85X29%2.90222%4.33 1.2–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa RJ0 Sao Jose0 139%2.20X31%2.60230%3.50 1.1–0.9xG 1XPortuguesa RJ or draw 70%@1.25 ✓
FT Capital Brasilia1 Nacional AM0 Pens 5–6 150%1.62X28%3.25222%5.00 1.3–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✗
FT Ferroviario3 Imperatriz0 155%1.53X26%3.25219%6.00 1.5–0.8xG 1Ferroviario to win 55%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Uberlandia vs Serra Branca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Uberlandia vs Serra Branca?

On our numbers Uberlandia have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Serra Branca 21%.

How many goals will there be in Uberlandia vs Serra Branca?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Uberlandia vs Serra Branca?

Our predicted score is Uberlandia 1–0 Serra Branca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Uberlandia vs Serra Branca?

Uberlandia vs Serra Branca (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.