Wednesday 11 November 2026 9 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gama v Porto Velho: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Gama

LWWDW
2–0
FTPens 5–4

Porto Velho

WDDDW
Gama 64%Draw 22%Porto Velho 14% Expected goals 1.87 – 0.91
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 51% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGama to win ✓64% · @1.27
Double chanceGama or draw ✓86% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Gama vs Porto Velho: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 12 July: Gama v Porto Velho in the Serie D.

Current form

Gama, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Porto Velho, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Porto Velho, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gama, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Porto Velho 2–0 Gama.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gama 1.9 xG, Porto Velho 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gama 64%, draw 22%, Porto Velho 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.50.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gama 2–0 Porto Velho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gama64%fair 1.57 · @1.27
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.50
Porto Velho14%fair 7.03 · @10.00
2.78Expected goals
1.87Gama xG
0.91Porto Velho xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Gama 1.9 – 0.9 Porto Velho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGama to win ✓64%1.571.27
Double chanceGama or draw ✓86%1.171.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.952.50 ▲
Draw no betGama (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapPorto Velho +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
First team to scoreGama to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultGama ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gama / FT Gama ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Gama – last 6

LWWDWW
4 Jul@ Porto Velho0–2L
27 Junvs Mixto1–0W
20 Jun@ Mixto2–1W
7 Junvs Aparecidense2–2D
31 May@ Inhumas2–0W
23 Mayvs Primavera MG4–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Porto Velho – last 6

WDDDWD
4 Julvs Gama2–0W
28 Junvs Sao Raimundo1–1D
21 Jun@ Sao Raimundo1–1D
14 Junvs Humaitá0–0D
31 May@ Galvez6–2W
24 May@ Araguaína1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Porto Velho v Gama2–0
Gama vs Porto Velho head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT São Luiz2 Velo Clube1 Pens 5–3 144%2.10X28%2.70228%3.60 1.3–1.0xG 1XSão Luiz or draw 72%@1.25 ✓
FT ABC3 Águia de Marabá0 159%1.48X24%3.60217%6.25 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Iguatu2 Maguary PE1 152%1.95X26%3.00222%3.80 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Manauara1 Goiatuba EC2 Pens 3–4 149%1.85X29%2.90222%4.33 1.2–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa RJ0 Sao Jose0 139%2.20X31%2.60230%3.50 1.1–0.9xG 1XPortuguesa RJ or draw 70%@1.25 ✓
FT Uberlandia2 Serra Branca2 151%1.95X28%3.10221%3.60 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✗
FT Capital Brasilia1 Nacional AM0 Pens 5–6 150%1.62X28%3.25222%5.00 1.3–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✗
FT Ferroviario3 Imperatriz0 155%1.53X26%3.25219%6.00 1.5–0.8xG 1Ferroviario to win 55%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gama vs Porto Velho?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Gama vs Porto Velho?

On our numbers Gama have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Porto Velho 14%.

How many goals will there be in Gama vs Porto Velho?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gama vs Porto Velho?

Our predicted score is Gama 2–0 Porto Velho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Gama vs Porto Velho?

Gama vs Porto Velho (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.