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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Portuguesa RJ v Sao Jose: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Luso Brasileiro

Portuguesa RJ

LWDLD
0–0
FT

Sao Jose

WDDWW
Portuguesa RJ 39%Draw 31%Sao Jose 30% Expected goals 1.06 – 0.85
70%
Betarazi pick

Portuguesa RJ or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultPortuguesa RJ to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chancePortuguesa RJ or draw ✓70% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.38

Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 12 July the Serie D brings Portuguesa RJ against Sao Jose at Estadio Luso Brasileiro. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Portuguesa RJ, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sao Jose, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Sao Jose, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Portuguesa RJ, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sao Jose, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Portuguesa RJ.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Sao Jose 1–0 Portuguesa RJ.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portuguesa RJ 1.1 xG, Sao Jose 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Portuguesa RJ 39%, draw 31%, Sao Jose 30%.
  • Lower-risk option: Portuguesa RJ or draw (70%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Portuguesa RJ or draw (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portuguesa RJ 1–0 Sao Jose. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portuguesa RJ39%fair 2.55 · @2.20
Draw31%fair 3.22 · @2.60
Sao Jose30%fair 3.37 · @3.50
1.92Expected goals
1.06Portuguesa RJ xG
0.85Sao Jose xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Portuguesa RJ 1.1 – 0.9 Sao Jose expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortuguesa RJ to win ✗39%2.552.20
Double chancePortuguesa RJ or draw ✓70%1.421.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.991.62
Draw no betPortuguesa RJ (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapSao Jose +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.75–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scorePortuguesa RJ to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.38–

Recent results

Portuguesa RJ – last 6

LWDLDD
4 Jul@ Sao Jose0–1L
28 Jun@ Noroeste3–1W
21 Junvs Noroeste1–1D
6 Jun@ Portuguesa0–2L
30 Mayvs América RJ2–2D
18 Aprvs Madureira0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sao Jose – last 6

WDDWWD
4 Julvs Portuguesa RJ1–0W
27 Jun@ Santa Catarina1–1D
21 Junvs Santa Catarina1–1D
7 Jun@ Blumenau1–0W
31 Mayvs Independiente FSJ1–0W
24 Mayvs Marcílio Dias1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Sao Jose v Portuguesa RJ1–0
Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT São Luiz2 Velo Clube1 Pens 5–3 144%2.10X28%2.70228%3.60 1.3–1.0xG 1XSão Luiz or draw 72%@1.25 ✓
FT ABC3 Águia de Marabá0 159%1.48X24%3.60217%6.25 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Gama2 Porto Velho0 Pens 5–4 164%1.27X22%4.50214%10.00 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Iguatu2 Maguary PE1 152%1.95X26%3.00222%3.80 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Manauara1 Goiatuba EC2 Pens 3–4 149%1.85X29%2.90222%4.33 1.2–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Uberlandia2 Serra Branca2 151%1.95X28%3.10221%3.60 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✗
FT Capital Brasilia1 Nacional AM0 Pens 5–6 150%1.62X28%3.25222%5.00 1.3–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✗
FT Ferroviario3 Imperatriz0 155%1.53X26%3.25219%6.00 1.5–0.8xG 1Ferroviario to win 55%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose?

Our pick is Portuguesa RJ or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose?

On our numbers Portuguesa RJ have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Sao Jose 30%.

How many goals will there be in Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose?

Our predicted score is Portuguesa RJ 1–0 Sao Jose, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose?

Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luso Brasileiro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.