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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guaporé v Luverdense: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Guaporé

LWLDW
0–0
FT

Luverdense

WDWWD
Guaporé 37%Draw 27%Luverdense 36% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.10
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Guaporé to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGuaporé to win ✗37% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.26

Guaporé vs Luverdense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 12 July the Serie D brings Guaporé against Luverdense. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT.

Current form

Guaporé, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Luverdense, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Luverdense, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Guaporé, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Luverdense, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Guaporé.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Luverdense 1–0 Guaporé.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guaporé 1.2 xG, Luverdense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guaporé 37%, draw 27%, Luverdense 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Guaporé to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guaporé 1–1 Luverdense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guaporé37%fair 2.71 · @2.88
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.10
Luverdense36%fair 2.79 · @2.30
2.34Expected goals
1.24Guaporé xG
1.10Luverdense xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Guaporé 1.2 – 1.1 Luverdense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuaporé to win ✗37%2.712.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.00
Draw no betGuaporé (draw no bet)51%1.97–
Asian handicapLuverdense +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.07
First team to scoreGuaporé to score first ✗48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guaporé / FT Guaporé ✗23%4.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.26–

Recent results

Guaporé – last 6

LWLDWW
4 Jul@ Luverdense0–1L
28 Junvs Monte Roraima2–0W
20 Jun@ Monte Roraima2–3L
14 Jun@ Independência2–2D
31 Mayvs Araguaína3–2W
24 May@ Humaitá4–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Luverdense – last 6

WDWWDW
4 Julvs Guaporé1–0W
28 Junvs Ceilândia1–1D
20 Jun@ Ceilândia2–1W
7 Junvs Inhumas4–0W
31 May@ Brasiliense1–1D
24 Mayvs Aparecidense1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Luverdense v Guaporé1–0
Guaporé vs Luverdense head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT São Luiz2 Velo Clube1 Pens 5–3 144%2.10X28%2.70228%3.60 1.3–1.0xG 1XSão Luiz or draw 72%@1.25 ✓
FT ABC3 Águia de Marabá0 159%1.48X24%3.60217%6.25 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Gama2 Porto Velho0 Pens 5–4 164%1.27X22%4.50214%10.00 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Iguatu2 Maguary PE1 152%1.95X26%3.00222%3.80 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Manauara1 Goiatuba EC2 Pens 3–4 149%1.85X29%2.90222%4.33 1.2–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa RJ0 Sao Jose0 139%2.20X31%2.60230%3.50 1.1–0.9xG 1XPortuguesa RJ or draw 70%@1.25 ✓
FT Uberlandia2 Serra Branca2 151%1.95X28%3.10221%3.60 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✗
FT Capital Brasilia1 Nacional AM0 Pens 5–6 150%1.62X28%3.25222%5.00 1.3–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guaporé vs Luverdense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Guaporé vs Luverdense?

On our numbers Guaporé have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Luverdense 36%.

How many goals will there be in Guaporé vs Luverdense?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guaporé vs Luverdense?

Our predicted score is Guaporé 1–1 Luverdense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Guaporé vs Luverdense?

Guaporé vs Luverdense (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.