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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ASA v Ivinhema: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

ASA

WWDDD
4–0
FT

Ivinhema

LDWDD
ASA 64%Draw 23%Ivinhema 12% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.68
64%
Betarazi pick

ASA to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultASA to win ✓64% · @1.36
Double chanceASA or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91

ASA vs Ivinhema: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

ASA welcome Ivinhema for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 12 July (21:00 WAT).

Current form

ASA, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ivinhema, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Ivinhema, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to ASA, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours ASA, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Ivinhema.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Jul 2026) it ended Ivinhema 1–2 ASA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ASA 1.8 xG, Ivinhema 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ASA 64%, draw 23%, Ivinhema 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.30.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was ASA to win (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: ASA 1–0 Ivinhema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ASA64%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.75
Ivinhema12%fair 8.20 · @9.00
2.44Expected goals
1.76ASA xG
0.68Ivinhema xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: ASA 1.8 – 0.7 Ivinhema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultASA to win ✓64%1.551.36
Double chanceASA or draw ✓88%1.141.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%2.002.30 ▲
Draw no betASA (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapASA -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreASA to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultASA ahead at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT ASA / FT ASA ✓40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

ASA – last 6

WWDDDL
7 Jul@ Ivinhema2–1W
27 Jun@ Sergipe1–0W
21 Junvs Sergipe1–1D
14 Jun@ Jacuipense1–1D
30 Mayvs CSE0–0D
7 May@ Sport Recife0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ivinhema – last 6

LDWDDL
7 Julvs ASA1–2L
29 Jun@ Democrata GV1–1D
21 Junvs Democrata GV3–1W
14 Jun@ CRAC1–1D
31 Mayvs Uberlandia1–1D
5 Marvs Volta Redonda2–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Jul 2026Ivinhema v ASA1–2
ASA vs Ivinhema head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT São Luiz2 Velo Clube1 Pens 5–3 144%2.10X28%2.70228%3.60 1.3–1.0xG 1XSão Luiz or draw 72%@1.25 ✓
FT ABC3 Águia de Marabá0 159%1.48X24%3.60217%6.25 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Gama2 Porto Velho0 Pens 5–4 164%1.27X22%4.50214%10.00 1.9–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Iguatu2 Maguary PE1 152%1.95X26%3.00222%3.80 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Manauara1 Goiatuba EC2 Pens 3–4 149%1.85X29%2.90222%4.33 1.2–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa RJ0 Sao Jose0 139%2.20X31%2.60230%3.50 1.1–0.9xG 1XPortuguesa RJ or draw 70%@1.25 ✓
FT Uberlandia2 Serra Branca2 151%1.95X28%3.10221%3.60 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✗
FT Capital Brasilia1 Nacional AM0 Pens 5–6 150%1.62X28%3.25222%5.00 1.3–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ASA vs Ivinhema?

Our pick is ASA to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win ASA vs Ivinhema?

On our numbers ASA have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ivinhema 12%.

How many goals will there be in ASA vs Ivinhema?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ASA vs Ivinhema?

Our predicted score is ASA 1–0 Ivinhema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is ASA vs Ivinhema?

ASA vs Ivinhema (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.