Value bet: Deportiva Minera to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlcoyano to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.75
Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Alcoyano against Deportiva Minera at Estadio El Collao. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Alcoyano are 7th, upper half, on 14 points after 9 matches; Deportiva Minera are 1st (leading the league) with 20.
Current form
Alcoyano, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Poblense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Deportiva Minera, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Orihuela, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcoyano 1.1 xG, Deportiva Minera 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcoyano 42%, draw 25%, Deportiva Minera 33%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Deportiva Minera to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.97, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcoyano 1–1 Deportiva Minera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcoyano42%fair 2.39 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.80
Deportiva Minera33%fair 3.01 · @3.80
2.00Expected goals
1.08Alcoyano xG
0.92Deportiva Minera xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alcoyano 1.1 – 0.9 Deportiva Minera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcoyano to win✓
42%
2.39
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Alcoyano (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Deportiva Minera +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Alcoyano to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.75
–
Recent results
Alcoyano – last 6
WLDWWD
20 Sep
vs Poblense
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Castellón II
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Cieza
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Hércules
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ La Nucía
2–1
W
17 May
@ SS Reyes
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportiva Minera – last 6
DDWWWL
20 Sep
vs Orihuela
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Mallorca II
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Peña Deportiva
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Eldense B
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Cartagena LU II
1–0
W
17 May
vs CD Coria
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcoyano and Deportiva Minera.
What is the prediction for Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera?
On our numbers Alcoyano have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportiva Minera 33%.
How many goals will there be in Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera?
Our predicted score is Alcoyano 1–1 Deportiva Minera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera?
Alcoyano vs Deportiva Minera (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Collao.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
