La Nucía 59%Draw 23%Mallorca II 18%Expected goals 1.30 – 0.53
59%
Betarazi pick
La Nucía to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultLa Nucía to win ✓59% · @1.70
Double chanceLa Nucía or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.80
La Nucía vs Mallorca II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
La Nucía welcome Mallorca II for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 27 September (10:30 WAT). In the table, La Nucía are 5th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; Mallorca II are 13th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
La Nucía, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Yeclano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Mallorca II, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Murcia II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give La Nucía 1.3 xG, Mallorca II 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – La Nucía 59%, draw 23%, Mallorca II 18%.
Lower-risk option: La Nucía or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was La Nucía to win (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Nucía 1–0 Mallorca II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
La Nucía59%fair 1.70 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.00
Mallorca II18%fair 5.41 · @5.00
1.83Expected goals
1.30La Nucía xG
0.53Mallorca II xG
45%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: La Nucía 1.3 – 0.5 Mallorca II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Nucía to win✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Double chance
La Nucía or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.62
Draw no bet
La Nucía (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Mallorca II +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
La Nucía to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Nucía / FT La Nucía✓
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.80
–
Recent results
La Nucía – last 6
WWWLWD
20 Sep
@ Yeclano
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Real Murcia II
5–1
W
6 Sep
vs Poblense
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Alcoyano
1–2
L
20 Jun
vs Trival Valderas
1–0
W
14 Jun
@ Trival Valderas
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mallorca II – last 6
WDDWWD
20 Sep
@ Real Murcia II
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Deportiva Minera
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Valencia II
1–1
D
3 May
vs Mercadal
7–0
W
19 Apr
vs Felanitx
8–1
W
12 Apr
@ Peña Deportiva
2–2
D
3.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Nucía and Mallorca II.
What is the prediction for La Nucía vs Mallorca II?
Our pick is La Nucía to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win La Nucía vs Mallorca II?
On our numbers La Nucía have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mallorca II 18%.
How many goals will there be in La Nucía vs Mallorca II?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Nucía vs Mallorca II?
Our predicted score is La Nucía 1–0 Mallorca II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is La Nucía vs Mallorca II?
La Nucía vs Mallorca II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
