Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Ucam Murcia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUcam Murcia to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceUcam Murcia or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Ucam Murcia vs Intercity: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Ucam Murcia against Intercity at Estadio de La Condomina. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Ucam Murcia are 2nd, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; Intercity are 9th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
Ucam Murcia, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Atlético Baleares, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Intercity, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lorca Deportiva, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Intercity, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Ucam Murcia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ucam Murcia 1.9 xG, Intercity 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ucam Murcia 63%, draw 21%, Intercity 16%.
Lower-risk option: Ucam Murcia or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Ucam Murcia to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ucam Murcia or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ucam Murcia 1–0 Intercity. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ucam Murcia63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.10
Intercity16%fair 6.33 · @3.90
2.67Expected goals
1.87Ucam Murcia xG
0.80Intercity xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ucam Murcia 1.9 – 0.8 Intercity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win✗
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ucam Murcia or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Ucam Murcia (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Ucam Murcia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Ucam Murcia to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Ucam Murcia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Ucam Murcia – last 6
WWLLLL
20 Sep
@ Atlético Baleares
4–1
W
13 Sep
vs Valencia II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Castellonense
1–2
L
3 May
@ Xerez
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Real Jaén
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ La Unión Atlético
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Intercity – last 6
DDWLWW
20 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Castellón II
2–1
W
14 Aug
vs Levante II
0–1
L
11 Aug
vs Jove Español
2–1
W
3 May
vs Colonia Moscardó
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ucam Murcia and Intercity.
What is the prediction for Ucam Murcia vs Intercity?
Our pick is Ucam Murcia or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ucam Murcia vs Intercity?
On our numbers Ucam Murcia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Intercity 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ucam Murcia vs Intercity?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ucam Murcia vs Intercity?
Our predicted score is Ucam Murcia 1–0 Intercity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ucam Murcia vs Intercity?
Ucam Murcia vs Intercity (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de La Condomina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
