Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultPeña Deportiva to win ✗65% · @1.62
Double chancePeña Deportiva or draw ✗89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.89
Peña Deportiva vs Real Murcia II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Peña Deportiva against Real Murcia II. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT. In the table, Peña Deportiva are 18th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Real Murcia II are 15th (lower half) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Peña Deportiva, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Elche II, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Real Murcia II, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mallorca II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peña Deportiva 1.7 xG, Real Murcia II 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peña Deportiva 65%, draw 25%, Real Murcia II 11%.
Lower-risk option: Peña Deportiva or draw (89%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Peña Deportiva to win (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peña Deportiva 1–0 Real Murcia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peña Deportiva65%fair 1.55 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
Real Murcia II11%fair 9.22 · @5.00
2.33Expected goals
1.75Peña Deportiva xG
0.58Real Murcia II xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Peña Deportiva 1.7 – 0.6 Real Murcia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Peña Deportiva to win✗
65%
1.55
1.62
Double chance
Peña Deportiva or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.80
Draw no bet
Peña Deportiva (draw no bet)✗
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Peña Deportiva -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Peña Deportiva to score first✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Peña Deportiva ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Peña Deportiva / FT Peña Deportiva✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.89
–
Recent results
Peña Deportiva – last 6
LDLLWD
20 Sep
@ Elche II
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Ibiza
0–5
L
20 Jun
vs Arenas Armilla
5–2
W
14 Jun
@ Arenas Armilla
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Murcia II – last 6
LLLDWW
20 Sep
vs Mallorca II
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ La Nucía
1–5
L
5 Sep
vs Orihuela
1–2
L
20 Jun
@ Pamplona
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Pamplona
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Olímpico Totana
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peña Deportiva and Real Murcia II.
What is the prediction for Peña Deportiva vs Real Murcia II?
Our pick is Peña Deportiva to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Real Murcia II?
On our numbers Peña Deportiva have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Murcia II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Peña Deportiva vs Real Murcia II?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peña Deportiva vs Real Murcia II?
Our predicted score is Peña Deportiva 1–0 Real Murcia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Peña Deportiva vs Real Murcia II?
Peña Deportiva vs Real Murcia II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
