Value bet: Cieza to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCieza to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.96
Cieza vs Atlético Baleares: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Baleares travel to face Cieza on Sunday 27 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT. In the table, Cieza are 6th, upper half, on 14 points after 9 matches; Atlético Baleares are 10th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cieza, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Castellonense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Atlético Baleares, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Ucam Murcia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cieza 1.3 xG, Atlético Baleares 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cieza 43%, draw 24%, Atlético Baleares 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Cieza to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cieza 1–1 Atlético Baleares. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cieza43%fair 2.30 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Atlético Baleares32%fair 3.10 · @2.62
2.33Expected goals
1.28Cieza xG
1.05Atlético Baleares xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cieza 1.3 – 1.1 Atlético Baleares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cieza to win✗
43%
2.30
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Cieza (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Baleares +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Cieza to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cieza / FT Cieza✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.96
–
Recent results
Cieza – last 6
LWDWLD
19 Sep
@ Castellonense
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Elche II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Alcoyano
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Santomera
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Real Murcia
1–4
L
10 Apr
@ Real Murcia II
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atlético Baleares – last 6
LDLWWL
20 Sep
vs Ucam Murcia
1–4
L
13 Sep
@ Intercity
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Yeclano
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ SS Reyes
3–0
W
21 Aug
@ Real Madrid II
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Poblense
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cieza and Atlético Baleares.
What is the prediction for Cieza vs Atlético Baleares?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Cieza vs Atlético Baleares?
On our numbers Cieza have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlético Baleares 32%.
How many goals will there be in Cieza vs Atlético Baleares?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cieza vs Atlético Baleares?
Our predicted score is Cieza 1–1 Atlético Baleares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cieza vs Atlético Baleares?
Cieza vs Atlético Baleares (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
