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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Poblense v Valencia II: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Poblense 43%Draw 24%Valencia II 33% Expected goals 1.10 – 0.90
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultPoblense to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.59

Poblense vs Valencia II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Poblense v Valencia II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3. In the table, Poblense are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Valencia II are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Current form

Poblense, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Alcoyano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Valencia II, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Castellón II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Poblense, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Valencia II.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Valencia II 2–2 Poblense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Poblense 1.1 xG, Valencia II 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Poblense 43%, draw 24%, Valencia II 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Poblense 1–1 Valencia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Poblense43%fair 2.33 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Valencia II33%fair 3.05 · @3.10
2.00Expected goals
1.10Poblense xG
0.90Valencia II xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Poblense 1.1 – 0.9 Valencia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPoblense to win ✓43%2.332.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.901.91
Draw no betPoblense (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapValencia II +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scorePoblense to score first ✓47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Poblense / FT Poblense ✓22%4.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.59–

Recent results

Poblense – last 6

LLLWDW
20 Sep@ Alcoyano0–2L
13 Sepvs Castellonense1–2L
6 Sep@ La Nucía0–1L
14 Augvs Atlético Baleares1–0W
24 May@ Águilas0–0D
17 Mayvs Numancia2–1W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Valencia II – last 6

LLDLWL
19 Sepvs Castellón II1–2L
13 Sep@ Ucam Murcia0–1L
6 Sepvs Mallorca II1–1D
3 May@ Olot0–2L
26 Aprvs Espanyol II3–0W
5 Apr@ Andratx3–5L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Valencia II v Poblense2–2
Poblense vs Valencia II head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportiva Minera9621+720
2Ucam Murcia10613+1119
3Castellón II9603+1018
4Castellonense9513+516
5La Nucía9504+115
6Cieza9423+614
7Alcoyano9423-114
8Lorca Deportiva10343+213
9Intercity9342+113
10Atlético Baleares10343013
11Poblense10415-313
12Orihuela10343-513
13Mallorca II10334-312
14Yeclano10253-211
15Real Murcia II9225-88
16Elche II9225-108
17Valencia II9144-57
18Peña Deportiva10217-67

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Poblense vs Valencia II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Poblense vs Valencia II?

On our numbers Poblense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valencia II 33%.

How many goals will there be in Poblense vs Valencia II?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Poblense vs Valencia II?

Our predicted score is Poblense 1–1 Valencia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Poblense vs Valencia II?

Poblense vs Valencia II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.