Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultAZ Alkmaar to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chanceAZ Alkmaar or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗64% · @1.95
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗29% · fair 3.43
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hapoel Beer Sheva travel to face AZ Alkmaar on Thursday 15 October in the UEFA Europa League, with AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar） the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, AZ Alkmaar are 14th, upper half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Hapoel Beer Sheva are 33rd (lower half) with 1.
Current form
AZ Alkmaar, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Feyenoord, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Hapoel Beer Sheva, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ironi Tiberias, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AZ Alkmaar 0.5 xG, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0.0 xG – a total near 0.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 99% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AZ Alkmaar 66%, draw 21%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 13%.
GG/NG: NG (64%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (64%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AZ Alkmaar 0–0 Hapoel Beer Sheva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AZ Alkmaar66%fair 1.52 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @5.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva13%fair 7.45 · @9.00
0.50Expected goals
0.48AZ Alkmaar xG
0.02Hapoel Beer Sheva xG
36%Both score
1%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–061%
1–029%
2–07%
0–11%
3–01%
1–11%
From our goals model: AZ Alkmaar 0.5 – 0.0 Hapoel Beer Sheva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AZ Alkmaar to win✓
66%
1.52
1.30
Double chance
AZ Alkmaar or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
AZ Alkmaar (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
No goal✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
80%
1.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
61%
1.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
29%
3.43
–
Recent results
AZ Alkmaar – last 6
LWLDWW
10 Oct
@ Feyenoord
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Telstar
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Sunderland
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Willem II
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Heerenveen
3–2
W
29 Aug
vs GO Ahead Eagles
5–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva – last 6
WWDWLD
10 Oct
@ Ironi Tiberias
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Hapoel Petah Tikva
2–0
W
7 Sep
vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1–4
L
2 Sep
vs Hapoel Haifa
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva.
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
On our numbers AZ Alkmaar have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hapoel Beer Sheva 13%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
We expect about 0.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 1% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Our predicted score is AZ Alkmaar 0–0 Hapoel Beer Sheva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 0.5 goals in total.
When is AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
