Value bet: Celje to win @ 2.60 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCelje to win ✗44% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.67
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 15 October the UEFA Europa League brings Celje against Omonia Nicosia at Stadion Z’dežele. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, Celje are 25th, lower half, on 4 points after 4 matches; Omonia Nicosia are 18th (upper half) with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Celje, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aluminij, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Omonia Nicosia, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Karmiotissa, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Omonia Nicosia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Celje.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celje 1.2 xG, Omonia Nicosia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celje 44%, draw 23%, Omonia Nicosia 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Celje to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celje 1–1 Omonia Nicosia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celje44%fair 2.30 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.20
Omonia Nicosia34%fair 2.98 · @2.62
2.17Expected goals
1.18Celje xG
0.99Omonia Nicosia xG
56%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Celje 1.2 – 1.0 Omonia Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celje to win✗
44%
2.30
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Draw no bet
Celje (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Omonia Nicosia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Celje to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celje / FT Celje✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.67
–
Recent results
Celje – last 6
WDLLLW
10 Oct
vs Aluminij
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Mura
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Bravo
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Koper
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ Aluminij
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Omonia Nicosia – last 6
WWWDWL
9 Oct
@ Karmiotissa
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Krasava Ypsonas
4–1
W
16 Sep
vs Celta Vigo
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Apollon Limassol
0–0
D
7 Sep
@ Aris
4–1
W
3 Sep
vs Pafos
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celje and Omonia Nicosia.
What is the prediction for Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
On our numbers Celje have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Omonia Nicosia 34%.
How many goals will there be in Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
Our predicted score is Celje 1–1 Omonia Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Celje vs Omonia Nicosia?
Celje vs Omonia Nicosia (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Z’dežele.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
