Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Crystal Palace to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLyon to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.17
Lyon vs Crystal Palace: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 15 October the UEFA Europa League brings Lyon against Crystal Palace at Groupama Stadium. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, Lyon are 13th, upper half, on 7 points after 4 matches; Crystal Palace are 21st (lower half) with 5. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lyon, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lens, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Crystal Palace, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Nottingham Forest, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lyon 1.8 xG, Crystal Palace 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lyon 40%, draw 22%, Crystal Palace 38%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Crystal Palace to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lyon 1–1 Crystal Palace. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lyon40%fair 2.48 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.40
Crystal Palace38%fair 2.63 · @3.00
3.50Expected goals
1.78Lyon xG
1.72Crystal Palace xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Lyon 1.8 – 1.7 Crystal Palace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✓
40%
2.48
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.57
Draw no bet
Lyon (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Crystal Palace +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Lyon to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✓
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.17
–
Recent results
Lyon – last 6
LWWDWD
9 Oct
@ Lens
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Rennes
4–0
W
16 Sep
@ Anderlecht
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Paris FC
0–0
D
4 Sep
vs Auxerre
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Le Havre
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Crystal Palace – last 6
WLDWLW
11 Oct
vs Nottingham Forest
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Bristol City
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Leeds
0–0
D
17 Sep
vs Lech Poznan
4–0
W
12 Sep
vs Ipswich
2–3
L
8 Sep
vs Middlesbrough
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon and Crystal Palace.
What is the prediction for Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
On our numbers Lyon have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Crystal Palace 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
Our predicted score is Lyon 1–1 Crystal Palace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
Lyon vs Crystal Palace (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Groupama Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
