Sparta Praha 66%Draw 17%Lillestrom 16%Expected goals 1.96 – 0.79
66%
Betarazi pick
Sparta Praha to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Picks by market
ResultSparta Praha to win ✗66% · @1.35
Double chanceSparta Praha or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lillestrom travel to face Sparta Praha on Thursday 15 October in the UEFA Europa League, with Stadion Letná the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, Sparta Praha are 22nd, lower half, on 4 points after 4 matches; Lillestrom are 34th (in the drop zone) with 1. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sparta Praha, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pardubice, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Lillestrom, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Molde, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Sparta Praha, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Lillestrom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sparta Praha 2.0 xG, Lillestrom 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sparta Praha 66%, draw 17%, Lillestrom 16%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sparta Praha to win (66%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sparta Praha 1–0 Lillestrom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sparta Praha66%fair 1.50 · @1.35
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @5.00
Lillestrom16%fair 6.14 · @8.00
2.75Expected goals
1.96Sparta Praha xG
0.79Lillestrom xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Sparta Praha 2.0 – 0.8 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Praha to win✗
66%
1.50
1.35
Double chance
Sparta Praha or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Draw no bet
Sparta Praha (draw no bet)
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Sparta Praha -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Sparta Praha to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Sparta Praha ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Praha / FT Sparta Praha✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Sparta Praha – last 6
WWWWWW
11 Oct
vs Pardubice
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs Vysočina Jihlava
5–3
W
20 Sep
@ Sigma Olomouc
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Ararat-Armenia
4–1
W
12 Sep
vs FK Jablonec
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Viktoria Žižkov
5–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lillestrom – last 6
DWLLWW
11 Oct
vs Molde
2–2
D
1 Oct
@ Bærum
5–1
W
20 Sep
@ Viking
0–3
L
17 Sep
vs Torreense
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Valerenga
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Brann
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Praha and Lillestrom.
What is the prediction for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
Our pick is Sparta Praha to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
On our numbers Sparta Praha have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Lillestrom 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
Our predicted score is Sparta Praha 1–0 Lillestrom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom?
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Letná.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
