Red Bull Salzburg 26%Draw 22%AC Milan 52%Expected goals 0.90 – 1.43
58%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: AC Milan to win @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAC Milan to win ✓52% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Red Bull Salzburg welcome AC Milan to Red Bull Arena for a UEFA Europa League fixture on Thursday 15 October (17:45 WAT). In the table, Red Bull Salzburg are 26th, lower half, on 4 points after 4 matches; AC Milan are 28th (lower half) with 3. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Red Bull Salzburg, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Grazer AK, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
AC Milan, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sassuolo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Red Bull Salzburg 0.9 xG, AC Milan 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Red Bull Salzburg 26%, draw 22%, AC Milan 52%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: AC Milan to win @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 AC Milan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Red Bull Salzburg26%fair 3.80 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
AC Milan52%fair 1.92 · @2.05
2.33Expected goals
0.90Red Bull Salzburg xG
1.43AC Milan xG
58%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–210%
0–010%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: Red Bull Salzburg 0.9 – 1.4 AC Milan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Milan to win✓
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.57
Draw no bet
AC Milan (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Red Bull Salzburg +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
AC Milan to score first✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Milan / FT AC Milan✓
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Red Bull Salzburg – last 6
DLWWDW
10 Oct
@ Grazer AK
0–0
D
2 Oct
vs FC BW Linz
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Sturm Graz
3–0
W
17 Sep
@ Levski Sofia
1–0
W
11 Sep
@ Ried
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ SKN ST. Polten
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AC Milan – last 6
DWLDDW
11 Oct
@ Sassuolo
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Lecce
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Benfica
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Lazio
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Juventus
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Venezia
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Red Bull Salzburg and AC Milan.
What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
On our numbers Red Bull Salzburg have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AC Milan 52%.
How many goals will there be in Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
Our predicted score is Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 AC Milan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
