Celta Vigo v Juventus Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗53% · @3.20

Double chanceJuventus or draw ✓81% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 16.06

Celta Vigo vs Juventus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Juventus travel to face Celta Vigo on Thursday 15 October in the UEFA Europa League, with Municipal de Balaídos the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Celta Vigo are 27th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Juventus are 5th (upper half) with 10.

Current form

Celta Vigo, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Elche, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Juventus, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cagliari, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Celta Vigo 1.4 xG, Juventus 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Celta Vigo 19%, draw 53%, Juventus 29%.
Lower-risk option: Juventus or draw (81%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Juventus or draw (81%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celta Vigo 1–1 Juventus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Celta Vigo19%fair 5.36 · @3.30

Draw53%fair 1.90 · @3.20

Juventus29%fair 3.48 · @2.15

3.00Expected goals

1.39Celta Vigo xG

1.61Juventus xG

55%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

0–18%

2–18%

1–07%

0–26%

From our goals model: Celta Vigo 1.4 – 1.6 Juventus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Draw ✗	53%	1.90	3.20 ▲
Double chance	Juventus or draw ✓	81%	1.23	1.30 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.83	1.83
Draw no bet	Juventus (draw no bet) ✓	61%	1.65	–
Asian handicap	Celta Vigo +1 (Asian handicap)	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.73	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.23	–
First team to score	Juventus to score first ✗	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.53	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Juventus / FT Juventus ✗	26%	3.89	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–2 ✗	6%	16.06	–

Celta Vigo – last 6

DWLDDD

11 Oct	@ Elche	0–0	D
19 Sep	vs Racing Santander	5–0	W
16 Sep	@ Omonia Nicosia	0–1	L
13 Sep	vs Malaga	1–1	D
7 Sep	@ Getafe	1–1	D
3 Sep	@ Real Sociedad	0–0	D

1.2Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Juventus – last 6

DLWWLD

11 Oct	@ Cagliari	1–1	D
2 Oct	vs Cremonese	0–1	L
20 Sep	vs Atalanta	2–0	W
17 Sep	vs NEC Nijmegen	5–0	W
13 Sep	@ Sassuolo	2–3	L
6 Sep	vs AC Milan	1–1	D

1.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Bournemouth	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Ferencvarosi TC	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Union St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
7	Bayer Leverkusen	4	3	0	1	+7	9
8	Beşiktaş	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Dinamo Zagreb	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Levski Sofia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	0	7
12	NEC Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Lyon	4	2	1	1	-1	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	+3	6
15	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	+3	6
16	OFI	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Rennes	4	1	3	0	+1	6
18	Omonia Nicosia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Torreense	4	2	0	2	-2	6
20	Real Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+5	5
21	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	+3	5
22	Sparta Praha	4	1	1	2	0	4
23	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	0	4
24	Sturm Graz	4	1	1	2	-3	4
25	Celje	4	1	1	2	-4	4
26	Red Bull Salzburg	4	1	1	2	-5	4
27	Celta Vigo	4	1	0	3	-2	3
28	AC Milan	4	1	0	3	-3	3
29	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	-3	3
30	Plzen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
31	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-4	3
32	Celtic	4	1	0	3	-5	3
33	Hapoel Beer Sheva	4	0	1	3	-7	1
34	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	-8	1
35	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	-10	1
36	Ararat-Armenia	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Team

Pts

+10

-1

-1

-1

-2

-3

-4

-5

-2

-3

-3

-4

-4

-5

-7

-8

-10

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Juventus?

Our pick is Juventus or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Juventus?

On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Juventus 29%.

How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Juventus?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Juventus?

Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 1–1 Juventus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Celta Vigo vs Juventus?

Celta Vigo vs Juventus (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Balaídos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Celta Vigo v Juventus: numbers & prediction