Value bet: Olympiakos Piraeus to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOlympiakos Piraeus to win ✓40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.58
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Olympiakos Piraeus travel to face Marseille on Thursday 15 October in the UEFA Europa League, with Orange Vélodrome the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Marseille are 31st, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Olympiakos Piraeus are 6th (upper half) with 10.
Current form
Marseille, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Estac Troyes, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Olympiakos Piraeus, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Panathinaikos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Olympiakos Piraeus, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Marseille.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marseille 2.0 xG, Olympiakos Piraeus 2.0 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marseille 39%, draw 22%, Olympiakos Piraeus 40%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Olympiakos Piraeus to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marseille 1–2 Olympiakos Piraeus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marseille39%fair 2.58 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
Olympiakos Piraeus40%fair 2.52 · @2.90
4.00Expected goals
1.99Marseille xG
2.01Olympiakos Piraeus xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Marseille 2.0 – 2.0 Olympiakos Piraeus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olympiakos Piraeus to win✓
40%
2.52
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.57 ▲
Draw no bet
Olympiakos Piraeus (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Marseille +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Olympiakos Piraeus to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Olympiakos Piraeus ahead at half-time✓
34%
2.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olympiakos Piraeus / FT Olympiakos Piraeus✓
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.58
–
Recent results
Marseille – last 6
WLLLLL
11 Oct
@ Estac Troyes
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Paris Saint Germain
1–2
L
17 Sep
@ Beşiktaş
1–4
L
11 Sep
@ Rennes
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Paris FC
2–3
L
30 Aug
@ Monaco
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Olympiakos Piraeus – last 6
WWWLWD
11 Oct
vs Panathinaikos
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Levadiakos
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Jagiellonia
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs OFI
0–1
L
8 Sep
vs Volos NFC
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ Volos NFC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus.
What is the prediction for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
On our numbers Marseille have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Olympiakos Piraeus 40%.
How many goals will there be in Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Our predicted score is Marseille 1–2 Olympiakos Piraeus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Orange Vélodrome.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
