Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 50% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultTemperley to win36% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win70% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals70% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–27% · fair 14.79
Almagro vs Temperley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Almagro v Temperley in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Tres de Febrero. In the table, Almagro are 15th, lower half, on 42 points after 36 matches; Temperley are 3rd (among the top four) with 61. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Almagro, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Midland, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Temperley, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Los Andes, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Temperley, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Almagro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almagro 1.0 xG, Temperley 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almagro 33%, draw 30%, Temperley 36%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.45.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almagro 0–1 Temperley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almagro33%fair 2.99 · @2.75
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @2.60
Temperley36%fair 2.77 · @2.90
1.96Expected goals
0.96Almagro xG
1.00Temperley xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–014%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Almagro 1.0 – 1.0 Temperley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Almagro
Temperley
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+5%
+23%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.13
1.17
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Temperley to win
36%
2.77
2.90
Double chance
Either team to win
70%
1.44
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
2.45 ▲
Draw no bet
Temperley (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Almagro +0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Temperley to score first
44%
2.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
7%
14.79
–
Recent results
Almagro – last 3
DLD
15 Mar
@ Midland
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Temperley – last 4
WDLW
29 Mar
@ Los Andes
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Agropecuario
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almagro and Temperley.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Almagro vs Temperley?
On our numbers Almagro have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Temperley 36%.
How many goals will there be in Almagro vs Temperley?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almagro vs Temperley?
Our predicted score is Almagro 0–1 Temperley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Almagro vs Temperley?
Almagro vs Temperley (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tres de Febrero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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