Colegiales 39%Draw 30%San Martin S.J. 31%Expected goals 1.13 – 0.83
69%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.35
7/10Rating
1.35Odds
1
Value bet: Colegiales to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultColegiales to win39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win70% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals69% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.28
Colegiales vs San Martin S.J.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Primera Nacional brings Colegiales against San Martin S.J. at Estadio de Colegiales. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Colegiales are 7th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; San Martin S.J. are 9th (upper half) with 51. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Colegiales, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Miguel, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
San Martin S.J., last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atlanta, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Colegiales, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for San Martin S.J..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colegiales 1.1 xG, San Martin S.J. 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colegiales 39%, draw 30%, San Martin S.J. 31%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Colegiales to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colegiales 1–0 San Martin S.J.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colegiales39%fair 2.55 · @2.90
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @2.62
San Martin S.J.31%fair 3.26 · @2.65
1.96Expected goals
1.13Colegiales xG
0.83San Martin S.J. xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Colegiales 1.1 – 0.8 San Martin S.J. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Colegiales
San Martin S.J.
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+3%
+24%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.33
0.77
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colegiales to win
39%
2.55
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
70%
1.43
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.50
Draw no bet
Colegiales (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
San Martin S.J. +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Colegiales to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colegiales / FT Colegiales
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.28
–
Recent results
Colegiales – last 3
DWL
29 Mar
vs San Miguel
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Atlanta
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Martin S.J. – last 6
LDDDLL
14 Apr
vs Atlanta
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Racing Cordoba
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs San Martin Tucuman
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Tristan Suarez
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colegiales and San Martin S.J..
What is the prediction for Colegiales vs San Martin S.J.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Colegiales vs San Martin S.J.?
On our numbers Colegiales have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and San Martin S.J. 31%.
How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs San Martin S.J.?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colegiales vs San Martin S.J.?
Our predicted score is Colegiales 1–0 San Martin S.J., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Colegiales vs San Martin S.J.?
Colegiales vs San Martin S.J. (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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