Atletico Mitre v Acassuso Prediction & Expected Goals (3 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Mitre to win50% · @1.64

Double chanceAtletico Mitre or draw82% · @1.05

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.36

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals72% · @1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–019% · fair 5.30

Atletico Mitre vs Acassuso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Acassuso travel to face Atletico Mitre on Sunday 3 May in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Aurinegro the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Mitre are 13th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Acassuso are 17th (in the drop zone) with 35.

Current form

Acassuso, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Gimnasia L.P., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Mitre 1.1 xG, Acassuso 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Mitre 50%, draw 32%, Acassuso 18%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Mitre 1–0 Acassuso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Mitre50%fair 2.02 · @1.64

Draw32%fair 3.12 · @3.00

Acassuso18%fair 5.45 · @6.50

1.76Expected goals

1.09Atletico Mitre xG

0.66Acassuso xG

44%Both score

28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%

0–017%

1–113%

0–111%

2–010%

2–17%

From our goals model: Atletico Mitre 1.1 – 0.7 Acassuso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Atletico Mitre	Acassuso
Attack vs Primera Nacional average	-19%	-25%
Goals conceded vs average	+13%	-15%
Our expected goals here	0.84	0.66

Atletico Mitre

Acassuso

Attack vs Primera Nacional average

-19%

-25%

Goals conceded vs average

+13%

-15%

Our expected goals here

0.84

0.66

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atletico Mitre to win	50%	2.02	1.64
Double chance	Atletico Mitre or draw	82%	1.22	1.05
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	56%	1.79	1.36
Draw no bet	Atletico Mitre (draw no bet)	73%	1.37	–
Asian handicap	Acassuso +1 (Asian handicap)	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	54%	1.85	1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	72%	1.40	1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	90%	1.11	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	97%	1.03	–
First team to score	Atletico Mitre to score first	52%	1.94	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	53%	1.89	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Atletico Mitre / FT Atletico Mitre	26%	3.88	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	19%	5.30	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Atletico Mitre to win

50%

2.02

1.64

Double chance

Atletico Mitre or draw

82%

1.22

1.05

Both teams to score

Not both teams to score

56%

1.79

1.36

Draw no bet

Atletico Mitre (draw no bet)

73%

1.37

–

Asian handicap

Acassuso +1 (Asian handicap)

74%

1.35

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

54%

1.85

1.67

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

72%

1.40

1.35

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals

90%

1.11

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals

97%

1.03

–

First team to score

Atletico Mitre to score first

52%

1.94

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time

53%

1.89

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Atletico Mitre / FT Atletico Mitre

26%

3.88

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–0

19%

5.30

–

Recent results

Head to head

Primera Nacional table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Mitre vs Acassuso?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Acassuso?

On our numbers Atletico Mitre have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Acassuso 18%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Mitre vs Acassuso?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Mitre vs Acassuso?

Our predicted score is Atletico Mitre 1–0 Acassuso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Atletico Mitre vs Acassuso?

Atletico Mitre vs Acassuso (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Aurinegro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

29 Mar	@ Club Atlético Güemes	2–2	D
23 Feb	vs CA Estudiantes	1–0	W

22 Apr	vs Gimnasia L.P.	0–3	L
9 Apr	@ Midland	0–1	L
30 Mar	@ Newells Old Boys	2–0	W
15 Mar	@ Colon Santa Fe	0–1	L

Atletico Mitre v Acassuso: numbers & prediction

Atletico Mitre

Acassuso

Under 2.5 goals

Picks by market

Atletico Mitre vs Acassuso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Atletico Mitre – last 2

Acassuso – last 4

Head to head

Primera Nacional table

More Primera Nacional predictions

Frequently asked questions