Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia Jujuy to win49% · @1.83
Double chanceGimnasia Jujuy or draw78% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.21
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Deportivo Maipu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Primera Nacional brings Gimnasia Jujuy against Deportivo Maipu at Estadio 23 de Agosto. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Jujuy are 4th, among the top four, on 58 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Maipu are 6th (upper half) with 52.
Current form
Gimnasia Jujuy, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chaco For Ever, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Deportivo Maipu, last 4: DLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Patronato, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Gimnasia Jujuy, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Deportivo Maipu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Jujuy 1.4 xG, Deportivo Maipu 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Jujuy 49%, draw 29%, Deportivo Maipu 22%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Jujuy 1–1 Deportivo Maipu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia Jujuy49%fair 2.03 · @1.83
Draw29%fair 3.51 · @2.65
Deportivo Maipu22%fair 4.51 · @5.75
2.40Expected goals
1.41Gimnasia Jujuy xG
0.99Deportivo Maipu xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Jujuy 1.4 – 1.0 Deportivo Maipu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gimnasia Jujuy
Deportivo Maipu
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+33%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
+47%
-18%
Our expected goals here
1.34
1.15
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia Jujuy to win
49%
2.03
1.83
Double chance
Gimnasia Jujuy or draw
78%
1.28
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Gimnasia Jujuy (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Maipu +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.55
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Gimnasia Jujuy to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia Jujuy / FT Gimnasia Jujuy
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Gimnasia Jujuy – last 4
WLLW
28 Mar
@ Chaco For Ever
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Tristan Suarez
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Chacarita Juniors
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Midland
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Deportivo Maipu – last 4
DLLW
19 Apr
@ Patronato
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Godoy Cruz
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Atlanta
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Jujuy and Deportivo Maipu.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Gimnasia Jujuy vs Deportivo Maipu?
On our numbers Gimnasia Jujuy have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportivo Maipu 22%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Deportivo Maipu?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Jujuy 1–1 Deportivo Maipu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Jujuy vs Deportivo Maipu?
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Deportivo Maipu (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 23 de Agosto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Mitre
Acassuso
Almirante Brown
Chaco For Ever
Ciudad de Bolívar
Ferro Carril Oeste