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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Almirante Brown v Chaco For Ever: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento
Sun 3 May 2026
Almirante Brown 42%Draw 31%Chaco For Ever 27% Expected goals 1.09 – 0.82
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.28

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlmirante Brown to win42% · @2.20
Double chanceAlmirante Brown or draw73% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals71% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.21

Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 3 May the Primera Nacional brings Almirante Brown against Chaco For Ever at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Almirante Brown are 6th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Chaco For Ever are 9th (upper half) with 46.

Current form

Almirante Brown, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ferro Carril Oeste, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Chaco For Ever, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Los Andes, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Almirante Brown, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.4 for Chaco For Ever.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Almirante Brown 1.1 xG, Chaco For Ever 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Almirante Brown 42%, draw 31%, Chaco For Ever 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Almirante Brown or draw (73%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almirante Brown 1–0 Chaco For Ever. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Almirante Brown42%fair 2.39 · @2.20
Draw31%fair 3.22 · @2.65
Chaco For Ever27%fair 3.69 · @3.80
1.91Expected goals
1.09Almirante Brown xG
0.82Chaco For Ever xG
49%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: Almirante Brown 1.1 – 0.8 Chaco For Ever expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Almirante BrownChaco For Ever
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-1%+26%
Goals conceded vs average-13%-9%
Our expected goals here1.100.85

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlmirante Brown to win42%2.392.20
Double chanceAlmirante Brown or draw73%1.371.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score51%1.961.42
Draw no betAlmirante Brown (draw no bet)61%1.65–
Asian handicapChaco For Ever +1 (Asian handicap)78%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals55%1.831.77
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals71%1.401.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals96%1.05–
First team to scoreAlmirante Brown to score first48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Almirante Brown / FT Almirante Brown23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%6.21–

Recent results

Almirante Brown – last 6

WLLWWD
28 Apr@ Ferro Carril Oeste1–0W
5 Aprvs Defensores De Belgrano0–2L
14 Mar@ Racing Cordoba1–2L
2 Mar@ CA Estudiantes1–0W
22 Febvs All Boys2–1W
15 Feb@ Los Andes0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chaco For Ever – last 5

LLLDD
5 Apr@ Los Andes0–2L
1 Apr@ Defensa Y Justicia1–2L
28 Marvs Gimnasia Jujuy1–2L
22 Marvs Godoy Cruz1–1D
22 Febvs San Telmo2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Almirante Brown and Chaco For Ever.

Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever?

On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Chaco For Ever 27%.

How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever?

Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 1–0 Chaco For Ever, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever?

Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.