Atlanta 37%Draw 36%Tristan Suarez 27%Expected goals 0.79 – 0.76
75%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtlanta to win37% · @2.10
Double chanceAtlanta or draw73% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.98
Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tristan Suarez travel to face Atlanta on Sunday 3 May in the Primera Nacional – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Atlanta are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 36 matches; Tristan Suarez are 1st (leading the league) with 64. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atlanta, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chacarita Juniors, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Tristan Suarez, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Martin Tucuman, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta 0.8 xG, Tristan Suarez 0.8 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta 37%, draw 36%, Tristan Suarez 27%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta 0–0 Tristan Suarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlanta37%fair 2.72 · @2.10
Draw36%fair 2.76 · @2.45
Tristan Suarez27%fair 3.71 · @4.75
1.55Expected goals
0.79Atlanta xG
0.76Tristan Suarez xG
44%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–021%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Atlanta 0.8 – 0.8 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlanta
Tristan Suarez
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+8%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-59%
Our expected goals here
0.55
0.69
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta to win
37%
2.72
2.10
Double chance
Atlanta or draw
73%
1.37
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.45
Draw no bet
Atlanta (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Tristan Suarez +0.5 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
50%
1.99
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Atlanta to score first
40%
2.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
57%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.98
–
Recent results
Atlanta – last 6
WWLLWD
21 Apr
vs Chacarita Juniors
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ San Martin S.J.
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Nueva Chicago
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Instituto Cordoba
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Maipu
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs Patronato
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tristan Suarez – last 5
DDLWW
19 Apr
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–0
W
2 Mar
vs San Martin S.J.
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta and Tristan Suarez.
What is the prediction for Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers Atlanta have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 36% and Tristan Suarez 27%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is Atlanta 0–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez?
Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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