Ciudad de Bolívar 38%Draw 32%Ferro Carril Oeste 30%Expected goals 0.89 – 0.74
75%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultCiudad de Bolívar to win38% · @2.45
Double chanceCiudad de Bolívar or draw70% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.73
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ciudad de Bolívar welcome Ferro Carril Oeste to Estadio Municipal Eva Peron for a Primera Nacional fixture on Sunday 3 May (20:00 WAT). In the table, Ciudad de Bolívar are 7th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd (among the top four) with 66. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ciudad de Bolívar, last 4: DDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Agropecuario, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Ferro Carril Oeste, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Almirante Brown, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ciudad de Bolívar 0.9 xG, Ferro Carril Oeste 0.7 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ciudad de Bolívar 38%, draw 32%, Ferro Carril Oeste 30%.
Lower-risk option: Ciudad de Bolívar or draw (70%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ciudad de Bolívar38%fair 2.60 · @2.45
Draw32%fair 3.13 · @2.62
Ferro Carril Oeste30%fair 3.38 · @3.20
1.63Expected goals
0.89Ciudad de Bolívar xG
0.74Ferro Carril Oeste xG
44%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–020%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Ciudad de Bolívar 0.9 – 0.7 Ferro Carril Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ciudad de Bolívar
Ferro Carril Oeste
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-18%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
-5%
Our expected goals here
0.96
0.81
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ciudad de Bolívar to win
38%
2.60
2.45
Double chance
Ciudad de Bolívar or draw
70%
1.42
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.44
Draw no bet
Ciudad de Bolívar (draw no bet)
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Ferro Carril Oeste +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
50%
1.98
1.77
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Ciudad de Bolívar to score first
44%
2.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.73
–
Recent results
Ciudad de Bolívar – last 4
DDLD
27 Mar
vs Agropecuario
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Los Andes
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ River Plate
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Godoy Cruz
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 3
LLD
28 Apr
vs Almirante Brown
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Los Andes
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ciudad de Bolívar and Ferro Carril Oeste.
What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
On our numbers Ciudad de Bolívar have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Ferro Carril Oeste 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Our predicted score is Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.