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Ciudad de Bolívar v Ferro Carril Oeste: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Municipal Eva Peron
Sun 3 May 2026
Ciudad de Bolívar 38%Draw 32%Ferro Carril Oeste 30% Expected goals 0.89 – 0.74
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultCiudad de Bolívar to win38% · @2.45
Double chanceCiudad de Bolívar or draw70% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.73

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ciudad de Bolívar welcome Ferro Carril Oeste to Estadio Municipal Eva Peron for a Primera Nacional fixture on Sunday 3 May (20:00 WAT). In the table, Ciudad de Bolívar are 7th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd (among the top four) with 66. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ciudad de Bolívar, last 4: DDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Agropecuario, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Ferro Carril Oeste, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Almirante Brown, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ciudad de Bolívar 0.9 xG, Ferro Carril Oeste 0.7 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ciudad de Bolívar 38%, draw 32%, Ferro Carril Oeste 30%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ciudad de Bolívar or draw (70%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ciudad de Bolívar38%fair 2.60 · @2.45
Draw32%fair 3.13 · @2.62
Ferro Carril Oeste30%fair 3.38 · @3.20
1.63Expected goals
0.89Ciudad de Bolívar xG
0.74Ferro Carril Oeste xG
44%Both score
25%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–020%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%

From our goals model: Ciudad de Bolívar 0.9 – 0.7 Ferro Carril Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ciudad de BolívarFerro Carril Oeste
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-18%-7%
Goals conceded vs average+11%-5%
Our expected goals here0.960.81

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCiudad de Bolívar to win38%2.602.45
Double chanceCiudad de Bolívar or draw70%1.421.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score56%1.781.44
Draw no betCiudad de Bolívar (draw no bet)56%1.77–
Asian handicapFerro Carril Oeste +0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals50%1.981.77
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals75%1.331.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals92%1.09–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals97%1.03–
First team to scoreCiudad de Bolívar to score first44%2.28–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw27%3.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017%5.73–

Recent results

Ciudad de Bolívar – last 4

DDLD
27 Marvs Agropecuario0–0D
22 Febvs Los Andes1–1D
18 Feb@ River Plate0–1L
14 Feb@ Godoy Cruz1–1D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Ferro Carril Oeste – last 3

LLD
28 Aprvs Almirante Brown0–1L
21 Marvs Los Andes0–2L
1 Mar@ Colon Santa Fe1–1D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ciudad de Bolívar and Ferro Carril Oeste.

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz361998+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste361998+766
3Deportivo Moron3618711+1661
4Deportivo Madryn3616128+2160
5Colon Santa Fe3616128+1860
6Almirante Brown36131211+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36131211-351
8CA Estudiantes36131013049
9Chaco For Ever36121014+246
10Los Andes3691611+143
11All Boys3681711-841
12San Telmo36101115-1141
13Atletico Mitre3681612-1140
14Racing Cordoba36101016-1340
15Defensores De Belgrano3681513-939
16Central Norte3671712-938
17Acassuso3681117-1035
18San Miguel3661515-1533

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

On our numbers Ciudad de Bolívar have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Ferro Carril Oeste 30%.

How many goals will there be in Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Our predicted score is Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.