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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Faroe Islands v Kazakhstan: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Tórsvøllur

Faroe Islands

WL
1–1
FT

Kazakhstan

LDWW
Faroe Islands 28%Draw 53%Kazakhstan 19% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.03
81%
Betarazi pick

Faroe Islands or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 53% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +65%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✓53% · @3.10
Double chanceFaroe Islands or draw ✓81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓13% · fair 7.55

Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 26 September the UEFA Nations League brings Faroe Islands against Kazakhstan at Tórsvøllur. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Faroe Islands are 2nd on 4 points after 4 matches; Kazakhstan are 4th with 2. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kazakhstan, last 4: LDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Hungary, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Faroe Islands 1.2 xG, Kazakhstan 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Faroe Islands 28%, draw 53%, Kazakhstan 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Faroe Islands or draw (81%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Faroe Islands or draw (81%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Faroe Islands 1–1 Kazakhstan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Faroe Islands28%fair 3.55 · @2.25
Draw53%fair 1.88 · @3.10
Kazakhstan19%fair 5.40 · @3.40
2.25Expected goals
1.22Faroe Islands xG
1.03Kazakhstan xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Faroe Islands 1.2 – 1.0 Kazakhstan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✓53%1.883.10 ▲
Double chanceFaroe Islands or draw ✓81%1.231.30 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.982.10 ▲
Draw no betFaroe Islands (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapKazakhstan +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.531.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreFaroe Islands to score first49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Faroe Islands / FT Faroe Islands ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓13%7.55–

Recent results

Faroe Islands – last 2

WL
9 Jun@ Latvia1–0W
6 Jun@ Estonia0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Kazakhstan – last 4

LDWW
9 Jun@ Hungary1–3L
6 Jun@ Armenia1–1D
31 Marvs Comoros1–0W
25 Marvs Namibia2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan.

Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovakia4310+710
2Faroe Islands404004
3Moldova4112-54
4Kazakhstan4022-22

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Slovenia0 Scotland0 134%2.45X23%3.10242%2.90 1.1–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT San Marino0 Finland7 114%26.00X13%10.00273%1.07 0.9–2.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Iceland1 Estonia1 168%1.25X16%5.75216%11.00 2.2–0.9xG 1Iceland to win 68%@1.25 ✗
FT Bulgaria1 Luxembourg2 148%2.30X25%3.00228%3.40 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT England2 Spain3 132%3.10X22%3.40247%2.20 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Czechia1 Croatia2 129%3.25X21%3.50249%2.15 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Albania2 Belarus0 163%1.50X24%4.00213%7.00 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Slovakia2 Moldova0 171%1.17X20%7.0029%15.00 2.3–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?

Our pick is Faroe Islands or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?

On our numbers Faroe Islands have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Kazakhstan 19%.

How many goals will there be in Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?

Our predicted score is Faroe Islands 1–1 Kazakhstan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?

Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tórsvøllur.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.