England welcome Spain for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Saturday 26 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, England are 2nd on 9 points after 4 matches; Spain are 1st with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
England, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 6–4 win over France, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Spain, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Argentina, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Spain, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for England.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give England 1.3 xG, Spain 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – England 32%, draw 22%, Spain 47%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: England 1–1 Spain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
England32%fair 3.15 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Spain47%fair 2.15 · @2.20
2.84Expected goals
1.25England xG
1.58Spain xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–27%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: England 1.3 – 1.6 Spain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain to win✓
47%
2.15
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Draw no bet
Spain (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
England +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
Spain to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain / FT Spain✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
England – last 6
WLDWWW
18 Jul
@ France
6–4
W
15 Jul
vs Argentina
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Norway
1–1
D
6 Jul
@ Mexico
3–2
W
1 Jul
vs Congo DR
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Panama
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Spain – last 6
DWWWWW
19 Jul
vs Argentina
0–0
D
14 Jul
@ France
2–0
W
10 Jul
vs Belgium
2–1
W
6 Jul
@ Portugal
1–0
W
2 Jul
vs Austria
3–0
W
27 Jun
@ Uruguay
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between England and Spain.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win England vs Spain?
On our numbers England have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spain 47%.
How many goals will there be in England vs Spain?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for England vs Spain?
Our predicted score is England 1–1 Spain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is England vs Spain?
England vs Spain (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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