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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Czechia v Croatia: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe

Czechia

LDLWW
1–2
FT

Croatia

LWWLW
Czechia 29%Draw 21%Croatia 49% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.65
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Croatia to win @ 2.15 – our chance 49% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCroatia to win ✓49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.57

Czechia vs Croatia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Croatia travel to face Czechia on Saturday 26 September in the UEFA Nations League – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Czechia are 4th on 0 points after 4 matches; Croatia are 3rd with 3. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Czechia, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Mexico, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.

Croatia, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Portugal, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Czechia 1.2 xG, Croatia 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Czechia 29%, draw 21%, Croatia 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Croatia to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Czechia 1–1 Croatia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Czechia29%fair 3.44 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.50
Croatia49%fair 2.02 · @2.15
2.84Expected goals
1.19Czechia xG
1.65Croatia xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Czechia 1.2 – 1.6 Croatia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCroatia to win ✓49%2.022.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.62
Draw no betCroatia (draw no bet) ✓63%1.59–
Asian handicapCzechia +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.201.14
First team to scoreCroatia to score first55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Croatia / FT Croatia ✗29%3.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%10.57–

Recent results

Czechia – last 5

LDLWW
25 Junvs Mexico0–3L
18 Junvs South Africa1–1D
12 Jun@ South Korea1–2L
5 Junvs Guatemala3–1W
31 Mayvs Kosovo2–1W
1.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Croatia – last 6

LWWLWL
3 Jul@ Portugal1–2L
27 Junvs Ghana2–1W
24 Jun@ Panama1–0W
17 Jun@ England2–4L
7 Junvs Slovenia2–1W
2 Junvs Belgium0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Czechia and Croatia.

Czechia vs Croatia head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain4400+712
2England4301+119
3Croatia4103-103
4Czechia4004-80

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Slovenia0 Scotland0 134%2.45X23%3.10242%2.90 1.1–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT San Marino0 Finland7 114%26.00X13%10.00273%1.07 0.9–2.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Faroe Islands1 Kazakhstan1 128%2.25X53%3.10219%3.40 1.2–1.0xG 1XFaroe Islands or draw 81%@1.30 ✓
FT Iceland1 Estonia1 168%1.25X16%5.75216%11.00 2.2–0.9xG 1Iceland to win 68%@1.25 ✗
FT Bulgaria1 Luxembourg2 148%2.30X25%3.00228%3.40 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT England2 Spain3 132%3.10X22%3.40247%2.20 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Albania2 Belarus0 163%1.50X24%4.00213%7.00 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Slovakia2 Moldova0 171%1.17X20%7.0029%15.00 2.3–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Czechia vs Croatia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Czechia vs Croatia?

On our numbers Czechia have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Croatia 49%.

How many goals will there be in Czechia vs Croatia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Czechia vs Croatia?

Our predicted score is Czechia 1–1 Croatia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Czechia vs Croatia?

Czechia vs Croatia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.