Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.31
Albania vs Belarus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Albania welcome Belarus for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Saturday 26 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Albania are 1st on 9 points after 4 matches; Belarus are 2nd with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Albania, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Luxembourg, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Belarus, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Burkina Faso, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Belarus, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.0 for Albania.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albania 1.7 xG, Belarus 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albania 63%, draw 24%, Belarus 13%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albania 1–0 Belarus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albania63%fair 1.59 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @4.00
Belarus13%fair 7.57 · @7.00
2.39Expected goals
1.74Albania xG
0.66Belarus xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Albania 1.7 – 0.7 Belarus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albania to win✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Double chance
Albania or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.53
Draw no bet
Albania (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Albania -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Albania to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Albania ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albania / FT Albania✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.31
–
Recent results
Albania – last 4
LLLL
6 Jun
vs Luxembourg
0–1
L
3 Jun
vs Israel
0–1
L
31 Mar
@ Ukraine
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ Poland
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Belarus – last 4
DWWW
9 Jun
vs Burkina Faso
2–2
D
5 Jun
vs Syria
4–1
W
29 Mar
@ Armenia
2–1
W
26 Mar
@ Cyprus
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albania and Belarus.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Albania vs Belarus?
On our numbers Albania have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Belarus 13%.
How many goals will there be in Albania vs Belarus?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albania vs Belarus?
Our predicted score is Albania 1–0 Belarus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Albania vs Belarus?
Albania vs Belarus (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Slovenia0
Scotland0
Faroe Islands1
Kazakhstan1
Iceland1
Estonia1
Bulgaria1
Luxembourg2
England2
Spain3
Czechia1
Croatia2
Slovakia2
Moldova0