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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Belgium v Türkiye: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Belgium

LWLWD
3–0
FT

Türkiye

LLWLL
Belgium 62%Draw 20%Türkiye 18% Expected goals 1.58 – 0.67
62%
Betarazi pick

Belgium to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultBelgium to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceBelgium or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35

Belgium vs Türkiye: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 2 October: Belgium v Türkiye in the UEFA Nations League, played at Stade Maurice Dufrasne. In the table, Belgium are 3rd on 6 points after 4 matches; Türkiye are 4th with 0.

Current form

Belgium, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to France, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Türkiye, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Italy, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Belgium, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Türkiye.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Belgium 1.6 xG, Türkiye 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Belgium 62%, draw 20%, Türkiye 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Belgium or draw (82%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Belgium to win (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Belgium 1–0 Türkiye. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Belgium62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.33
Türkiye18%fair 5.52 · @5.00
2.25Expected goals
1.58Belgium xG
0.67Türkiye xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Belgium 1.6 – 0.7 Türkiye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBelgium to win ✓62%1.611.50
Double chanceBelgium or draw ✓82%1.221.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.871.53
Draw no betBelgium (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapTürkiye +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreBelgium to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Belgium / FT Belgium ✓36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.35–

Recent results

Belgium – last 6

LWLWDW
28 Sepvs France0–1L
25 Sep@ Italy2–0W
10 Jul@ Spain1–2L
7 Jul@ USA4–1W
1 Julvs Senegal2–2D
27 Jun@ New Zealand5–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Türkiye – last 6

LLWLLW
28 Sepvs Italy1–4L
25 Sepvs France0–1L
26 Junvs USA3–2W
20 Junvs Paraguay0–1L
14 Jun@ Australia0–2L
6 Jun@ Venezuela2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Belgium and Türkiye.

Belgium vs Türkiye head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1France4310+510
2Italy4211+37
3Belgium4202+16
4Türkiye4004-90

More UEFA Nations League predictions

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FT Kazakhstan1 Moldova2 164%1.83X21%3.20215%4.20 1.6–0.6xG 1XKazakhstan or draw 85%@1.20 ✗
FT Cyprus2 Armenia0 137%2.25X23%3.00240%3.00 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.75 ✗
FT Latvia1 Montenegro2 114%4.20X26%3.25260%1.80 0.7–1.8xG X2Montenegro or draw 86%@1.20 ✓
FT France1 Italy1 169%1.40X21%4.60210%6.00 1.8–0.5xG 1France to win 69%@1.40 ✗
FT Hungary1 Georgia0 144%2.05X23%3.10233%3.40 0.3–0.2xG NGNot both teams to score 63%@1.85 ✓
FT Ukraine0 Northern Ireland3 160%1.85X27%3.10213%4.00 0.5–0.0xG 1XUkraine or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
FT Poland6 Romania0 161%1.50X24%3.90215%5.50 2.2–1.1xG 1Poland to win 61%@1.50 ✓
FT Bosnia & Herzegovina1 Sweden1 136%2.62X22%3.30242%2.40 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.57 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Belgium vs Türkiye?

Our pick is Belgium to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Belgium vs Türkiye?

On our numbers Belgium have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Türkiye 18%.

How many goals will there be in Belgium vs Türkiye?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Türkiye?

Our predicted score is Belgium 1–0 Türkiye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Belgium vs Türkiye?

Belgium vs Türkiye (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.