Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Poland v Romania: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · National Stadium Warsaw

Poland

LDDLL
6–0
FT

Romania

LLWDL
Poland 61%Draw 24%Romania 15% Expected goals 2.19 – 1.06
61%
Betarazi pick

Poland to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultPoland to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chancePoland or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Poland vs Romania: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Poland welcome Romania to National Stadium Warsaw for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Friday 2 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Poland are 3rd on 4 points after 4 matches; Romania are 4th with 0.

Current form

Poland, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sweden, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Romania, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Bosnia & Herzegovina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Poland 2.2 xG, Romania 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Poland 61%, draw 24%, Romania 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Poland or draw (85%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Poland to win (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Poland 2–1 Romania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Poland61%fair 1.65 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.90
Romania15%fair 6.62 · @5.50
3.25Expected goals
2.19Poland xG
1.06Romania xG
53%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Poland 2.2 – 1.1 Romania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPoland to win ✓61%1.651.50
Double chancePoland or draw ✓85%1.181.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.871.85
Draw no betPoland (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapPoland -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
First team to scorePoland to score first ✓65%1.55–
Half-time resultPoland ahead at half-time ✓47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Poland / FT Poland ✓41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

Poland – last 6

LDDLLW
28 Sep@ Sweden1–3L
25 Sepvs Bosnia & Herzegovina0–0D
3 Junvs Nigeria2–2D
31 Mayvs Ukraine0–2L
31 Mar@ Sweden2–3L
26 Marvs Albania2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Romania – last 6

LLWDLL
28 Sepvs Bosnia & Herzegovina2–4L
25 Sep@ Sweden1–2L
6 Junvs Wales2–1W
2 Jun@ Georgia1–1D
31 Mar@ Slovakia0–2L
26 Mar@ Türkiye0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Poland and Romania.

Poland vs Romania head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden4310+410
2Bosnia & Herzegovina4220+38
3Poland4112+34
4Romania4004-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Kazakhstan1 Moldova2 164%1.83X21%3.20215%4.20 1.6–0.6xG 1XKazakhstan or draw 85%@1.20 ✗
FT Cyprus2 Armenia0 137%2.25X23%3.00240%3.00 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.75 ✗
FT Latvia1 Montenegro2 114%4.20X26%3.25260%1.80 0.7–1.8xG X2Montenegro or draw 86%@1.20 ✓
FT France1 Italy1 169%1.40X21%4.60210%6.00 1.8–0.5xG 1France to win 69%@1.40 ✗
FT Belgium3 Türkiye0 162%1.50X20%4.33218%5.00 1.6–0.7xG 1Belgium to win 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Hungary1 Georgia0 144%2.05X23%3.10233%3.40 0.3–0.2xG NGNot both teams to score 63%@1.85 ✓
FT Ukraine0 Northern Ireland3 160%1.85X27%3.10213%4.00 0.5–0.0xG 1XUkraine or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
FT Bosnia & Herzegovina1 Sweden1 136%2.62X22%3.30242%2.40 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.57 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Poland vs Romania?

Our pick is Poland to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Poland vs Romania?

On our numbers Poland have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Romania 15%.

How many goals will there be in Poland vs Romania?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Poland vs Romania?

Our predicted score is Poland 2–1 Romania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Poland vs Romania?

Poland vs Romania (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at National Stadium Warsaw.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.