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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cyprus v Armenia: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · GSP Stadium

Cyprus

DLWDW
2–0
FT

Armenia

LWDDL
Cyprus 37%Draw 23%Armenia 40% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.28
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Armenia to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultArmenia to win ✗40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.16

Cyprus vs Armenia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 2 October the UEFA Nations League brings Cyprus against Armenia at GSP Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Cyprus are 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches; Armenia are 3rd with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cyprus, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Latvia, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Armenia, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Montenegro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cyprus 1.2 xG, Armenia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cyprus 37%, draw 23%, Armenia 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Armenia to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cyprus 1–1 Armenia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cyprus37%fair 2.72 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Armenia40%fair 2.51 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.22Cyprus xG
1.28Armenia xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Cyprus 1.2 – 1.3 Armenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArmenia to win ✗40%2.513.00 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.75
Draw no betArmenia (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapCyprus +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreArmenia to score first ✗47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Armenia / FT Armenia ✗22%4.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.16–

Recent results

Cyprus – last 6

DLWDWL
28 Sep@ Latvia0–0D
25 Sep@ Montenegro1–2L
7 Jun@ Liechtenstein2–0W
4 Jun@ Slovenia1–1D
30 Marvs Moldova3–2W
26 Marvs Belarus0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Armenia – last 5

LWDDL
28 Sepvs Montenegro2–3L
25 Sepvs Latvia2–0W
9 Junvs Moldova1–1D
6 Junvs Kazakhstan1–1D
29 Marvs Belarus1–2L
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cyprus and Armenia.

Cyprus vs Armenia head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Montenegro4310+310
2Cyprus4211+27
3Armenia4112-14
4Latvia4013-41

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Kazakhstan1 Moldova2 164%1.83X21%3.20215%4.20 1.6–0.6xG 1XKazakhstan or draw 85%@1.20 ✗
FT Latvia1 Montenegro2 114%4.20X26%3.25260%1.80 0.7–1.8xG X2Montenegro or draw 86%@1.20 ✓
FT France1 Italy1 169%1.40X21%4.60210%6.00 1.8–0.5xG 1France to win 69%@1.40 ✗
FT Belgium3 Türkiye0 162%1.50X20%4.33218%5.00 1.6–0.7xG 1Belgium to win 62%@1.50 ✓
FT Hungary1 Georgia0 144%2.05X23%3.10233%3.40 0.3–0.2xG NGNot both teams to score 63%@1.85 ✓
FT Ukraine0 Northern Ireland3 160%1.85X27%3.10213%4.00 0.5–0.0xG 1XUkraine or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
FT Poland6 Romania0 161%1.50X24%3.90215%5.50 2.2–1.1xG 1Poland to win 61%@1.50 ✓
FT Bosnia & Herzegovina1 Sweden1 136%2.62X22%3.30242%2.40 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.57 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cyprus vs Armenia?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Cyprus vs Armenia?

On our numbers Cyprus have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Armenia 40%.

How many goals will there be in Cyprus vs Armenia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cyprus vs Armenia?

Our predicted score is Cyprus 1–1 Armenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Cyprus vs Armenia?

Cyprus vs Armenia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.