Bosnia & Herzegovina 36%Draw 22%Sweden 42%Expected goals 1.56 – 1.69
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultSweden to win ✗42% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sweden travel to face Bosnia & Herzegovina on Friday 2 October in the UEFA Nations League, with Stadion Bilino Polje the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Bosnia & Herzegovina are 2nd on 8 points after 4 matches; Sweden are 1st with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bosnia & Herzegovina, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Romania, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Sweden, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Poland, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.6 xG, Sweden 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bosnia & Herzegovina 36%, draw 22%, Sweden 42%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Sweden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bosnia & Herzegovina36%fair 2.74 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Sweden42%fair 2.39 · @2.40
3.25Expected goals
1.56Bosnia & Herzegovina xG
1.69Sweden xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.6 – 1.7 Sweden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sweden to win✗
42%
2.39
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Draw no bet
Sweden (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Bosnia & Herzegovina +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Sweden to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sweden / FT Sweden✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Bosnia & Herzegovina – last 6
WDLWLD
28 Sep
@ Romania
4–2
W
25 Sep
@ Poland
0–0
D
2 Jul
@ USA
0–2
L
24 Jun
vs Qatar
3–1
W
18 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–4
L
12 Jun
@ Canada
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sweden – last 6
WWLDLW
28 Sep
vs Poland
3–1
W
25 Sep
vs Romania
2–1
W
30 Jun
@ France
0–3
L
26 Jun
@ Japan
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Netherlands
1–5
L
15 Jun
vs Tunisia
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Sweden.
What is the prediction for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?
On our numbers Bosnia & Herzegovina have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sweden 42%.
How many goals will there be in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?
Our predicted score is Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Sweden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bilino Polje.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.