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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bosnia & Herzegovina v Sweden: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Stadion Bilino Polje
1–1
FT

Sweden

WWLDL
Bosnia & Herzegovina 36%Draw 22%Sweden 42% Expected goals 1.56 – 1.69
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultSweden to win ✗42% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sweden travel to face Bosnia & Herzegovina on Friday 2 October in the UEFA Nations League, with Stadion Bilino Polje the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Bosnia & Herzegovina are 2nd on 8 points after 4 matches; Sweden are 1st with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bosnia & Herzegovina, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Romania, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Sweden, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Poland, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.6 xG, Sweden 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bosnia & Herzegovina 36%, draw 22%, Sweden 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Sweden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bosnia & Herzegovina36%fair 2.74 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Sweden42%fair 2.39 · @2.40
3.25Expected goals
1.56Bosnia & Herzegovina xG
1.69Sweden xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.6 – 1.7 Sweden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSweden to win ✗42%2.392.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.57
Draw no betSweden (draw no bet)53%1.87–
Asian handicapBosnia & Herzegovina +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreSweden to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sweden / FT Sweden ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.59–

Recent results

Bosnia & Herzegovina – last 6

WDLWLD
28 Sep@ Romania4–2W
25 Sep@ Poland0–0D
2 Jul@ USA0–2L
24 Junvs Qatar3–1W
18 Jun@ Switzerland1–4L
12 Jun@ Canada1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sweden – last 6

WWLDLW
28 Sepvs Poland3–1W
25 Sepvs Romania2–1W
30 Jun@ France0–3L
26 Jun@ Japan1–1D
20 Jun@ Netherlands1–5L
15 Junvs Tunisia5–1W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Sweden.

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden4310+410
2Bosnia & Herzegovina4220+38
3Poland4112+34
4Romania4004-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?

On our numbers Bosnia & Herzegovina have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sweden 42%.

How many goals will there be in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?

Our predicted score is Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Sweden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bilino Polje.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.