Hungary v Georgia Prediction & Expected Goals (2 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHungary to win ✓44% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · @1.85

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.15

Hungary vs Georgia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 2 October the UEFA Nations League brings Hungary against Georgia at Puskás Aréna. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Hungary are 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches; Georgia are 4th with 2.

Current form

Hungary, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Northern Ireland, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Georgia, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ukraine, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hungary 0.3 xG, Georgia 0.2 xG – a total near 0.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 99% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hungary 44%, draw 23%, Georgia 33%.
GG/NG: NG (63%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (63%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hungary 0–0 Georgia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hungary44%fair 2.27 · @2.05

Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10

Georgia33%fair 3.04 · @3.40

0.50Expected goals

0.32Hungary xG

0.18Georgia xG

37%Both score

1%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–061%

1–019%

0–111%

1–13%

2–03%

0–21%

From our goals model: Hungary 0.3 – 0.2 Georgia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hungary to win ✓	44%	2.27	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.33
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	63%	1.57	1.85 ▲
Draw no bet	Hungary (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Georgia +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	77%	1.31	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Under 1.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	99%	1.01	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	100%	1.00	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	100%	1.00	–
First team to score	No goal ✗	61%	1.65	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	81%	1.23	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	62%	1.60	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	19%	5.15	–

Hungary – last 5

DLWWD

28 Sep	@ Northern Ireland	0–0	D
25 Sep	vs Ukraine	0–1	L
9 Jun	vs Kazakhstan	3–1	W
5 Jun	vs Finland	2–1	W
31 Mar	vs Greece	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

0.6Conceded / game

40%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Georgia – last 6

DLWDWD

28 Sep	vs Ukraine	0–0	D
25 Sep	vs Northern Ireland	0–1	L
5 Jun	vs Bahrain	2–0	W
2 Jun	vs Romania	1–1	D
29 Mar	@ Lithuania	2–0	W
26 Mar	vs Israel	2–2	D

1.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Northern Ireland	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Hungary	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Ukraine	4	1	1	2	-3	4
4	Georgia	4	0	2	2	-2	2

Team

Pts

-3

-2

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hungary vs Georgia?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Hungary vs Georgia?

On our numbers Hungary have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Georgia 33%.

How many goals will there be in Hungary vs Georgia?

We expect about 0.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 1% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hungary vs Georgia?

Our predicted score is Hungary 0–0 Georgia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 0.5 goals in total.

When is Hungary vs Georgia?

Hungary vs Georgia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Puskás Aréna.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hungary v Georgia: numbers & prediction